Velia Gabriella Cenciarelli , Giulio Greco , Marco Maria Mattei
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study investigates the relationship between product market competition and financial default in private firms and the moderating role of group affiliation in this relationship. The empirical research uses a sample of Italian firms and a multivariate regression approach. It augments Altman’s default prediction model with three measures of competition: product market fluidity, HHI, and Li’s (2010) measures of competition. It analyzes the in-sample and out-of-sample prediction abilities of models augmented by competition. The findings show that competition has a significant positive association with default, suggesting that the risk-increasing effect of competition prevails over the disciplinary effect. Interaction analysis provides evidence that group affiliation moderates the effect of competition on default. Group-affiliated private firms are less likely to default than non-group-affiliated firms at similar levels of competition, signaling a disciplinary effect channeled by group affiliation. Furthermore, we find that adding product market fluidity to Altman’s model significantly increases its predictive ability. This study contributes to the literature on the financial outcomes of competition with evidence of private firms. This shows that group affiliation moderates the relationship between competition and defaults. This study also contributes to financial default studies with evidence that competition enhances default predictions. This study suggests that competition indicators might be used in financial distress early warning systems for private firms the European Union is recently promoting.
期刊介绍:
Research in International Business and Finance (RIBAF) seeks to consolidate its position as a premier scholarly vehicle of academic finance. The Journal publishes high quality, insightful, well-written papers that explore current and new issues in international finance. Papers that foster dialogue, innovation, and intellectual risk-taking in financial studies; as well as shed light on the interaction between finance and broader societal concerns are particularly appreciated. The Journal welcomes submissions that seek to expand the boundaries of academic finance and otherwise challenge the discipline. Papers studying finance using a variety of methodologies; as well as interdisciplinary studies will be considered for publication. Papers that examine topical issues using extensive international data sets are welcome. Single-country studies can also be considered for publication provided that they develop novel methodological and theoretical approaches or fall within the Journal''s priority themes. It is especially important that single-country studies communicate to the reader why the particular chosen country is especially relevant to the issue being investigated. [...] The scope of topics that are most interesting to RIBAF readers include the following: -Financial markets and institutions -Financial practices and sustainability -The impact of national culture on finance -The impact of formal and informal institutions on finance -Privatizations, public financing, and nonprofit issues in finance -Interdisciplinary financial studies -Finance and international development -International financial crises and regulation -Financialization studies -International financial integration and architecture -Behavioral aspects in finance -Consumer finance -Methodologies and conceptualization issues related to finance