Roger Beltrati Coser, Caio Sergio R Nahas, Alex Jones Flores Cassenote, Omar S T Ghani, Rafaela B B Pinheiro, Sergio Carlos Nahas, Carlos Frederico S Marques
{"title":"Response Prediction to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Rectal Cancer Based on Systemic Inflammatory Markers (NLR, PLR, and LMR).","authors":"Roger Beltrati Coser, Caio Sergio R Nahas, Alex Jones Flores Cassenote, Omar S T Ghani, Rafaela B B Pinheiro, Sergio Carlos Nahas, Carlos Frederico S Marques","doi":"10.1007/s12029-025-01255-3","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>This study aimed to evaluate whether systemic inflammatory markers-neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR)-can predict tumor response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in patients with rectal cancer.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective, single-center study included 396 patients with biopsy-proven rectal cancer (clinical stage T2-4NxM0 or any T N + M0) treated with curative intent. All patients underwent standardized nCRT, followed by either radical surgery with total mesorectal excision (TME) or non-operative management in cases of sustained complete clinical response (cCR). Pre-treatment NLR, PLR, and LMR were calculated from baseline blood counts. Tumor response was categorized using tumor regression grade (TRG): TRG 0 (complete response), TRG 1 (almost complete), TRG 2 (partial), and TRG 3 (no response).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Incomplete responders (TRG 1-3) had higher NLR (p < 0.001), PLR (p = 0.002), and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA, p < 0.001), and were more frequently male (p = 0.021). Complete responders (TRG 0) were more associated with higher LMR (p < 0.001), elevated hemoglobin levels (p = 0.049), more comorbidities (p = 0.001), and greater use of antihypertensives (p = 0.012) and antiplatelet/anticoagulant drugs (p = 0.045). Risk estimates of incomplete response were as follows: NLR > 2.08 (RR 2.30, 95% CI 1.60-3.31), PLR > 129.36 (RR 1.79, 95% CI 1.25-2.05), and LMR > 2.67 (RR 0.42, 95% CI 0.26-0.66).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Pre-treatment NLR, PLR, and LMR are predictors of response to nCRT in patients with rectal cancer. An NLR > 2.08 is an independent predictor of incomplete response to nCRT. These findings contribute a cost-effective and readily available tool to the rectal cancer management arsenal.</p>","PeriodicalId":15895,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Gastrointestinal Cancer","volume":"56 1","pages":"134"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Gastrointestinal Cancer","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12029-025-01255-3","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ONCOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Purpose: This study aimed to evaluate whether systemic inflammatory markers-neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR)-can predict tumor response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in patients with rectal cancer.
Methods: A retrospective, single-center study included 396 patients with biopsy-proven rectal cancer (clinical stage T2-4NxM0 or any T N + M0) treated with curative intent. All patients underwent standardized nCRT, followed by either radical surgery with total mesorectal excision (TME) or non-operative management in cases of sustained complete clinical response (cCR). Pre-treatment NLR, PLR, and LMR were calculated from baseline blood counts. Tumor response was categorized using tumor regression grade (TRG): TRG 0 (complete response), TRG 1 (almost complete), TRG 2 (partial), and TRG 3 (no response).
Results: Incomplete responders (TRG 1-3) had higher NLR (p < 0.001), PLR (p = 0.002), and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA, p < 0.001), and were more frequently male (p = 0.021). Complete responders (TRG 0) were more associated with higher LMR (p < 0.001), elevated hemoglobin levels (p = 0.049), more comorbidities (p = 0.001), and greater use of antihypertensives (p = 0.012) and antiplatelet/anticoagulant drugs (p = 0.045). Risk estimates of incomplete response were as follows: NLR > 2.08 (RR 2.30, 95% CI 1.60-3.31), PLR > 129.36 (RR 1.79, 95% CI 1.25-2.05), and LMR > 2.67 (RR 0.42, 95% CI 0.26-0.66).
Conclusion: Pre-treatment NLR, PLR, and LMR are predictors of response to nCRT in patients with rectal cancer. An NLR > 2.08 is an independent predictor of incomplete response to nCRT. These findings contribute a cost-effective and readily available tool to the rectal cancer management arsenal.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Gastrointestinal Cancer is a multidisciplinary medium for the publication of novel research pertaining to cancers arising from the gastrointestinal tract.The journal is dedicated to the most rapid publication possible.The journal publishes papers in all relevant fields, emphasizing those studies that are helpful in understanding and treating cancers affecting the esophagus, stomach, liver, gallbladder and biliary tree, pancreas, small bowel, large bowel, rectum, and anus. In addition, the Journal of Gastrointestinal Cancer publishes basic and translational scientific information from studies providing insight into the etiology and progression of cancers affecting these organs. New insights are provided from diverse areas of research such as studies exploring pre-neoplastic states, risk factors, epidemiology, genetics, preclinical therapeutics, surgery, radiation therapy, novel medical therapeutics, clinical trials, and outcome studies.In addition to reports of original clinical and experimental studies, the journal also publishes: case reports, state-of-the-art reviews on topics of immediate interest or importance; invited articles analyzing particular areas of pancreatic research and knowledge; perspectives in which critical evaluation and conflicting opinions about current topics may be expressed; meeting highlights that summarize important points presented at recent meetings; abstracts of symposia and conferences; book reviews; hypotheses; Letters to the Editors; and other items of special interest, including:Complex Cases in GI Oncology: This is a new initiative to provide a forum to review and discuss the history and management of complex and involved gastrointestinal oncology cases. The format will be similar to a teaching case conference where a case vignette is presented and is followed by a series of questions and discussion points. A brief reference list supporting the points made in discussion would be expected.