The spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the impact of waterway transportation on fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration: evidence from 25 Chinese provinces using a GTWR approach.

IF 3.2 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL
Fuyong Yang, Kunming Li, Ling Hong
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper constructs an environmental impact model of Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5) concentration using the STIRPAT analysis framework and empirically tests the impact of waterway transport on PM2.5 concentration and its spatiotemporal heterogeneity based on provincial panel data in China from 1998 to 2019 using the Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model. The empirical results show: (1) The GTWR model, which considers spatiotemporal factors, outperforms the global regression (OLS) model in terms of fitting effects; (2) The impact of waterway transport on PM2.5 concentration exhibits both positive and negative effects. Specifically, the positive effect of waterway goods transport on PM2.5 concentration is significant, while the negative effect of waterway passenger transport is significant, and the two present an approximate substitution pattern in spatial distribution; (3) The effects of various influencing variables on PM2.5 concentration all exhibit positive and negative effects as well as varying degrees of fluctuation, and they display significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity. From a temporal perspective, different influencing factors show certain evolutionary trends, while from a spatial perspective, the differences in influencing factors between regions are significant. These findings not only provide empirical support for regionally differentiated PM2.5 control strategies in China but also offer valuable insights for other developing countries facing trade-offs between transportation development and air quality. The study contributes to the global discussion on sustainable transportation planning and environmental governance by highlighting the nuanced roles of freight and passenger transport in pollution outcomes. Based on the empirical conclusions, this paper proposes related policy recommendations for controlling PM2.5 emissions.

水路运输对细颗粒物(PM2.5)浓度影响的时空异质性:基于GTWR方法的中国25个省份的证据
本文利用STIRPAT分析框架构建了细颗粒物(PM2.5)浓度环境影响模型,并基于1998 - 2019年中国省际面板数据,采用地理时间加权回归(GTWR)模型实证检验了水路运输对PM2.5浓度的影响及其时空异质性。实证结果表明:(1)考虑时空因素的GTWR模型拟合效果优于全局回归(OLS)模型;(2)水路运输对PM2.5浓度的影响呈现正、负双重效应。其中,水路货物运输对PM2.5浓度的正向影响显著,水路旅客运输的负向影响显著,两者在空间分布上呈近似替代格局;(3)各影响变量对PM2.5浓度的影响均表现出正、负作用和不同程度的波动,且表现出显著的时空异质性。从时间上看,不同影响因素表现出一定的演化趋势,而从空间上看,区域间影响因素差异显著。这些发现不仅为中国区域差异化的PM2.5控制策略提供了实证支持,也为其他面临交通发展与空气质量权衡的发展中国家提供了宝贵的见解。该研究通过强调货运和客运在污染结果中的微妙作用,为可持续交通规划和环境治理的全球讨论做出了贡献。基于实证结论,本文提出了控制PM2.5排放的相关政策建议。
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来源期刊
Environmental Geochemistry and Health
Environmental Geochemistry and Health 环境科学-工程:环境
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
4.80%
发文量
279
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Environmental Geochemistry and Health publishes original research papers and review papers across the broad field of environmental geochemistry. Environmental geochemistry and health establishes and explains links between the natural or disturbed chemical composition of the earth’s surface and the health of plants, animals and people. Beneficial elements regulate or promote enzymatic and hormonal activity whereas other elements may be toxic. Bedrock geochemistry controls the composition of soil and hence that of water and vegetation. Environmental issues, such as pollution, arising from the extraction and use of mineral resources, are discussed. The effects of contaminants introduced into the earth’s geochemical systems are examined. Geochemical surveys of soil, water and plants show how major and trace elements are distributed geographically. Associated epidemiological studies reveal the possibility of causal links between the natural or disturbed geochemical environment and disease. Experimental research illuminates the nature or consequences of natural or disturbed geochemical processes. The journal particularly welcomes novel research linking environmental geochemistry and health issues on such topics as: heavy metals (including mercury), persistent organic pollutants (POPs), and mixed chemicals emitted through human activities, such as uncontrolled recycling of electronic-waste; waste recycling; surface-atmospheric interaction processes (natural and anthropogenic emissions, vertical transport, deposition, and physical-chemical interaction) of gases and aerosols; phytoremediation/restoration of contaminated sites; food contamination and safety; environmental effects of medicines; effects and toxicity of mixed pollutants; speciation of heavy metals/metalloids; effects of mining; disturbed geochemistry from human behavior, natural or man-made hazards; particle and nanoparticle toxicology; risk and the vulnerability of populations, etc.
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