{"title":"The principle of a single big jump from the perspective of tail moment risk measure","authors":"Jinzhu Li","doi":"10.1016/j.insmatheco.2025.103118","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Consider a financial or insurance system with a finite number of individual components. The famous principle of a single big jump (PSBJ) says that a system crisis occurs mainly due to a single but unusually large loss from some individual component. Most of literatures modeled the PSBJ through the tail probabilities of the largest risk and the total risk of the system. Different from the existing works, this paper is devoted to explore the PSBJ from a new perspective. We aim to establish the PSBJ based on a kind of risk measure defined via the tail moments of the related risks. Our study is mainly conducted under a widely used framework, in which the individual risks are pairwise asymptotically independent and have the distributions from the Fréchet or Gumbel max-domain of attraction. The asymptotic behavior of the tail mixed moments is also discussed in detail. The results obtained are applied to an optimal capital allocation problem based on a tail mean-variance model. A numerical study is given to illustrate the accuracy of our main asymptotic results. We also give a thorough discussion on some interesting theoretical properties regarding the PSBJ.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54974,"journal":{"name":"Insurance Mathematics & Economics","volume":"124 ","pages":"Article 103118"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Insurance Mathematics & Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167668725000654","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Consider a financial or insurance system with a finite number of individual components. The famous principle of a single big jump (PSBJ) says that a system crisis occurs mainly due to a single but unusually large loss from some individual component. Most of literatures modeled the PSBJ through the tail probabilities of the largest risk and the total risk of the system. Different from the existing works, this paper is devoted to explore the PSBJ from a new perspective. We aim to establish the PSBJ based on a kind of risk measure defined via the tail moments of the related risks. Our study is mainly conducted under a widely used framework, in which the individual risks are pairwise asymptotically independent and have the distributions from the Fréchet or Gumbel max-domain of attraction. The asymptotic behavior of the tail mixed moments is also discussed in detail. The results obtained are applied to an optimal capital allocation problem based on a tail mean-variance model. A numerical study is given to illustrate the accuracy of our main asymptotic results. We also give a thorough discussion on some interesting theoretical properties regarding the PSBJ.
期刊介绍:
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics publishes leading research spanning all fields of actuarial science research. It appears six times per year and is the largest journal in actuarial science research around the world.
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics is an international academic journal that aims to strengthen the communication between individuals and groups who develop and apply research results in actuarial science. The journal feels a particular obligation to facilitate closer cooperation between those who conduct research in insurance mathematics and quantitative insurance economics, and practicing actuaries who are interested in the implementation of the results. To this purpose, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics publishes high-quality articles of broad international interest, concerned with either the theory of insurance mathematics and quantitative insurance economics or the inventive application of it, including empirical or experimental results. Articles that combine several of these aspects are particularly considered.