{"title":"Major cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality after ischemic stroke in central Norway – A three-year prospective multicenter study","authors":"Ailan Phan , Bent Indredavik , Stian Lydersen , Torunn Askim , Torgeir Wethal","doi":"10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2025.108356","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>A substantial decline in the incidence of stroke and ischemic heart disease during the last decade is probably due to improved preventive treatment and a reduction in cardiovascular risk factors. Updated estimates on long-term outcomes following first-ever ischemic stroke are therefore limited.</div></div><div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>To assess the incidence of major cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality three years post-stroke, and to evaluate the impact of modifiable cardiovascular and other prognostic factors.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>MIDNOR STROKE is a multicenter prospective study including patients with first-ever ischemic stroke admitted to stroke units in Central Norway during 2015-2017. Data were collected during the hospital stay. Information on major cardiovascular events and survival three years post-stroke was retrieved from national medical registries. Competing risk models were used to analyze cardiovascular events. All-cause mortality was analyzed by using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among 787 included participants, the cumulative incidence of major cardiovascular events was 15.0 % (95 % CI: 12.0–17.0 %), with recurrent stroke as the most common event. The all-cause mortality rate was 18.0 % (95 % CI: 15.0–20.0 %). Coronary artery disease was associated with a higher risk of major vascular events HR: 1.59, 95 % CI: 1.06, 2.38) and all-cause death (HR: 1.66, 95 % CI: 1,11, 2.50). NIHSS at day 1 predicted all-cause mortality (HR: 1.08, 95 % CI: 1.05, 1.10).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Three-year survival rates post-stroke were higher compared to previous reports; however, the risk of major cardiovascular events remains substantial, affecting 15 % of stroke survivors within three years.</div><div>Reducing cardiac disease risk and interventions aimed at minimizing stroke severity may improve long-term stroke outcomes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54368,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Stroke & Cerebrovascular Diseases","volume":"34 8","pages":"Article 108356"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Stroke & Cerebrovascular Diseases","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S105230572500134X","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"NEUROSCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
A substantial decline in the incidence of stroke and ischemic heart disease during the last decade is probably due to improved preventive treatment and a reduction in cardiovascular risk factors. Updated estimates on long-term outcomes following first-ever ischemic stroke are therefore limited.
Purpose
To assess the incidence of major cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality three years post-stroke, and to evaluate the impact of modifiable cardiovascular and other prognostic factors.
Methods
MIDNOR STROKE is a multicenter prospective study including patients with first-ever ischemic stroke admitted to stroke units in Central Norway during 2015-2017. Data were collected during the hospital stay. Information on major cardiovascular events and survival three years post-stroke was retrieved from national medical registries. Competing risk models were used to analyze cardiovascular events. All-cause mortality was analyzed by using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression.
Results
Among 787 included participants, the cumulative incidence of major cardiovascular events was 15.0 % (95 % CI: 12.0–17.0 %), with recurrent stroke as the most common event. The all-cause mortality rate was 18.0 % (95 % CI: 15.0–20.0 %). Coronary artery disease was associated with a higher risk of major vascular events HR: 1.59, 95 % CI: 1.06, 2.38) and all-cause death (HR: 1.66, 95 % CI: 1,11, 2.50). NIHSS at day 1 predicted all-cause mortality (HR: 1.08, 95 % CI: 1.05, 1.10).
Conclusion
Three-year survival rates post-stroke were higher compared to previous reports; however, the risk of major cardiovascular events remains substantial, affecting 15 % of stroke survivors within three years.
Reducing cardiac disease risk and interventions aimed at minimizing stroke severity may improve long-term stroke outcomes.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Stroke & Cerebrovascular Diseases publishes original papers on basic and clinical science related to the fields of stroke and cerebrovascular diseases. The Journal also features review articles, controversies, methods and technical notes, selected case reports and other original articles of special nature. Its editorial mission is to focus on prevention and repair of cerebrovascular disease. Clinical papers emphasize medical and surgical aspects of stroke, clinical trials and design, epidemiology, stroke care delivery systems and outcomes, imaging sciences and rehabilitation of stroke. The Journal will be of special interest to specialists involved in caring for patients with cerebrovascular disease, including neurologists, neurosurgeons and cardiologists.