Impact of carbon emissions, green energy, artificial intelligence and high-tech policy uncertainty on China’s financial market

IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Xilin Zhang , Guangwu Li , Ran Wu , Hongjun Zeng , Shenglin Ma
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Abstract

This study investigates the impact of policy uncertainty in carbon emissions, green energy, and high-tech sectors on China’s financial market. For this purpose, we develop four specific indices—artificial intelligence policy uncertainty (AIPU), carbon emissions policy uncertainty (CEPU), green energy policy uncertainty (GEPU), and high-tech policy uncertainty (HTPU). Using wavelet coherence analysis, we examine the dynamic relationships between these uncertainties and the Chinese stock market from a time–frequency perspective over 2000–2023. Results show that AIPU has the most pronounced long-term impact (32–64 months), CEPU exerts the strongest and most consistent influence in the medium term (12–16 months), GEPU is more prominent in the short term, and HTPU presents a fragmented, less stable pattern.
碳排放、绿色能源、人工智能和高科技政策不确定性对中国金融市场的影响
本文研究了碳排放、绿色能源和高科技行业的政策不确定性对中国金融市场的影响。为此,我们制定了人工智能政策不确定性(AIPU)、碳排放政策不确定性(CEPU)、绿色能源政策不确定性(GEPU)和高科技政策不确定性(HTPU)四个具体指标。利用小波相干分析,从时频角度考察了2000-2023年间这些不确定性与中国股市之间的动态关系。结果表明:AIPU的长期影响最显著(32-64个月),CEPU的中期影响最强且最稳定(12-16个月),GEPU的短期影响更突出,HTPU呈现碎片化、不稳定的格局。
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来源期刊
Finance Research Letters
Finance Research Letters BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
14.40%
发文量
863
期刊介绍: Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies. Papers are invited in the following areas: Actuarial studies Alternative investments Asset Pricing Bankruptcy and liquidation Banks and other Depository Institutions Behavioral and experimental finance Bibliometric and Scientometric studies of finance Capital budgeting and corporate investment Capital markets and accounting Capital structure and payout policy Commodities Contagion, crises and interdependence Corporate governance Credit and fixed income markets and instruments Derivatives Emerging markets Energy Finance and Energy Markets Financial Econometrics Financial History Financial intermediation and money markets Financial markets and marketplaces Financial Mathematics and Econophysics Financial Regulation and Law Forecasting Frontier market studies International Finance Market efficiency, event studies Mergers, acquisitions and the market for corporate control Micro Finance Institutions Microstructure Non-bank Financial Institutions Personal Finance Portfolio choice and investing Real estate finance and investing Risk SME, Family and Entrepreneurial Finance
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