Prognostic significance of chemotherapy response score in predicting outcomes for high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

IF 1.5 4区 医学 Q4 ONCOLOGY
Translational cancer research Pub Date : 2025-04-30 Epub Date: 2025-03-27 DOI:10.21037/tcr-24-1654
Jing Liu, Yanwen Song, Qin Liu, Li Li, Junping Pan, Lan Luo, Shitao Zhu, Dongmei Wu, Dan Hu, Qin Xu
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: The chemotherapy response score (CRS) evaluates the response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) in high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC). This study aimed to develop a prognostic nomogram combining CRS and clinical characteristics to improve outcome predictions for NACT-treated patients.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 271 HGSOC patients who received NACT. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were conducted to identify independent prognostic factors, which were then used to construct a nomogram. The nomogram's performance was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: Patients were randomly divided into the training cohort (n=181) and validation cohort (n=90). Cox regression analysis identified debulking status, CRS, and post-adjuvant chemotherapy cancer antigen 125 (PACT-CA125) levels as independent prognostic factors, which were incorporated into the nomogram. The nomogram demonstrated C-indices of 0.735 and 0.730 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The ROC curves, calibration plots, and DCA confirmed the nomogram's strong predictive performance. Notably, longer progression-free survival was observed in patients with <3 cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy in low-risk groups, while similar findings were not obtained in the high-risk group.

Conclusions: This study developed a novel prognostic nomogram incorporating debulking status, CRS and PACT-CA125 levels for NACT-treated HGSOC patients. It serves as a valuable tool for personalized treatment planning and survival assessment, assisting clinicians in making individualized decisions.

化疗反应评分在预测高级别浆液性卵巢癌新辅助化疗预后中的预后意义。
背景:化疗反应评分(CRS)用于评价高级别浆液性卵巢癌(HGSOC)患者对新辅助化疗(NACT)的反应。本研究旨在建立一种结合CRS和临床特征的预后图,以改善nact治疗患者的预后预测。方法:回顾性分析271例接受NACT治疗的HGSOC患者。进行单因素和多因素回归分析,以确定独立的预后因素,然后用于构建nomogram。采用一致性指数(C-index)、校正图、受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)来评价nomogram的性能。结果:患者随机分为训练组(181例)和验证组(90例)。Cox回归分析发现,减积状态、CRS和辅助化疗后肿瘤抗原125 (PACT-CA125)水平是独立的预后因素,并将其纳入nomogram。训练组和验证组的c指数分别为0.735和0.730。ROC曲线、校正图和DCA证实了nomogram具有较强的预测性能。结论:本研究为nact治疗的HGSOC患者开发了一种新的预后图,包括减容状态、CRS和PACT-CA125水平。它可作为个性化治疗计划和生存评估的宝贵工具,协助临床医生做出个性化决策。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
252
期刊介绍: Translational Cancer Research (Transl Cancer Res TCR; Print ISSN: 2218-676X; Online ISSN 2219-6803; http://tcr.amegroups.com/) is an Open Access, peer-reviewed journal, indexed in Science Citation Index Expanded (SCIE). TCR publishes laboratory studies of novel therapeutic interventions as well as clinical trials which evaluate new treatment paradigms for cancer; results of novel research investigations which bridge the laboratory and clinical settings including risk assessment, cellular and molecular characterization, prevention, detection, diagnosis and treatment of human cancers with the overall goal of improving the clinical care of cancer patients. The focus of TCR is original, peer-reviewed, science-based research that successfully advances clinical medicine toward the goal of improving patients'' quality of life. The editors and an international advisory group of scientists and clinician-scientists as well as other experts will hold TCR articles to the high-quality standards. We accept Original Articles as well as Review Articles, Editorials and Brief Articles.
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