A novel stroke mimic prediction score during in-hospital triage for suspected stroke patients: The Stroke Mimics Score (SMS).

Abstract

Introduction: Early differential diagnosis between stroke mimics and cerebrovascular events is a major challenge in the Emergency Department (ED). The primary aim of this study was to identify diagnostic predictors of stroke mimics based on parameters acquired during the ED triage of patients with suspected stroke. Secondly, we aimed to develop a diagnostic score for early differential diagnosis. Moreover, we compared the diagnostic accuracy of our score with that of other two validated scores.

Patients and methods: We included consecutive patients presenting to the ED of an urban teaching hospital for suspected stroke from 2015 to 2022 in the retrospective derivation cohort and during 2023 in the prospective validation cohort. Cerebrovascular events predictors were identified by logistic regression and were used to develop the Stroke Mimics Score (SMS). The diagnostic performance of SMS was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROC) and the comparison with other diagnostic scores (FABS - Facial droop, Atrial fibrillation, Age, Systolic blood pressure, Seizure, Sensory symptoms- and TMS- TeleStroke Mimic score) was performed through DeLong method and Net Reclassification Index (NRI).

Results: About 8648 patients were included in the study, 6998 in the retrospective cohort, and 1650 in the prospective cohort. In the retrospective cohort, 3266 (46.7%) patients had a final diagnosis of stroke mimic. Several variables collected by triage nurses independently predicted cerebrovascular event over stroke mimic diagnosis. The 10-variable SMS had excellent diagnostic performance in both the derivation and validation cohorts [AUROC 0.777 (95% CI: 0.766-0.788) and 0.774 (95% CI: 0.752-0.797), respectively] and outperformed FABS and TMS in all statistical comparisons.

Discussion and conclusion: Several clinical variables elicited by triage nurses in the ED help to differentiate cerebrovascular events from stroke mimics in suspected stroke patients. The SMS is an easy-to-use score that could help selecting the best pathway for such patients.