Statistical inference for smoothed quantile regression with streaming data

IF 9.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Jinhan Xie , Xiaodong Yan , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong
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Abstract

In this paper, we tackle the problem of conducting valid statistical inference for quantile regression with streaming data. The main difficulties are that the quantile regression loss function is non-smooth and it is often infeasible to store the entire dataset in memory, rendering traditional methodologies ineffective. We introduce a fully online updating method for statistical inference in smoothed quantile regression with streaming data to overcome these issues. Our main contributions are twofold. First, for low-dimensional data, we present an incremental updating algorithm to obtain the smoothed quantile regression estimator with the streaming data set. The proposed estimator allows us to construct asymptotically exact statistical inference procedures. Second, within the realm of high-dimensional data, we develop an online debiased lasso procedure to accommodate the special sparse structure of streaming data. The proposed online debiased approach is updated with only the current data and summary statistics of historical data and corrects an approximation error term from online updating with streaming data. Furthermore, theoretical results such as estimation consistency and asymptotic normality are established to justify its validity in both settings. Our findings are supported by simulation studies and illustrated through applications to Seoul’s bike-sharing demand data and index fund data.
流数据平滑分位数回归的统计推断
在本文中,我们解决了对流数据进行分位数回归的有效统计推断的问题。主要困难在于分位数回归损失函数是非光滑的,并且通常无法将整个数据集存储在内存中,使得传统的方法无效。为了克服这些问题,我们在流数据平滑分位数回归中引入了一种完全在线的统计推断更新方法。我们的主要贡献是双重的。首先,对于低维数据,我们提出了一种增量更新算法来获得流数据集的平滑分位数回归估计量。所提出的估计量允许我们构造渐近精确的统计推断过程。其次,在高维数据领域,我们开发了一种在线去偏见套索程序来适应流数据的特殊稀疏结构。所提出的在线去偏方法仅使用当前数据和历史数据的汇总统计进行更新,并通过流数据修正在线更新产生的近似误差项。此外,建立了估计一致性和渐近正态性等理论结果来证明其在两种情况下的有效性。我们的研究结果得到了模拟研究的支持,并通过对首尔共享单车需求数据和指数基金数据的应用进行了说明。
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来源期刊
Journal of Econometrics
Journal of Econometrics 社会科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
8.60
自引率
1.60%
发文量
220
审稿时长
3-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Econometrics serves as an outlet for important, high quality, new research in both theoretical and applied econometrics. The scope of the Journal includes papers dealing with identification, estimation, testing, decision, and prediction issues encountered in economic research. Classical Bayesian statistics, and machine learning methods, are decidedly within the range of the Journal''s interests. The Annals of Econometrics is a supplement to the Journal of Econometrics.
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