{"title":"Alcohol sales changes in a Canadian province after recreational cannabis legalization","authors":"Michael J. Armstrong","doi":"10.1016/j.drugpo.2025.104840","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Cannabis legalization’s impacts partly depend on how it affects use of other substances like alcohol. This observational study analyzed alcohol sales in the Canadian province of Nova Scotia, where some government-owned stores sold both cannabis and alcohol.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>The study compared monthly alcoholic beverage sales in Canadian dollars at Nova Scotia liquor stores during 17 months before cannabis legalization and 17 months afterward, i.e., May 2017 to February 2020. Comparative interrupted time series models of aggregate sales contrasted stores that kept selling only alcohol versus those that also began selling cannabis.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Post-legalization alcohol sales by alcohol-only stores and cannabis-selling stores had significantly different initial responses, ongoing trends, and 17-month averages. Cannabis sellers saw initial increases of 0.55 % followed by monthly growth of 0.29 %, whereas alcohol-only stores saw initial decreases of 2.91 % followed by monthly growth of 0.06 %. Post-legalization alcohol sales consequently averaged 3.1 % above pre-legalization levels at cannabis sellers but 2.4 % below at alcohol-only stores; combined sales were 1.2 % below. Differences were larger for beers than for spirits or wines. Results were similar when considering similarly sized stores, stores’ proximity to cannabis sellers, and alternative model specifications.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Nova Scotia’s alcohol sales declined slightly after cannabis legalization, while changes at alcohol-only stores differed from those at stores also selling cannabis. The changes were consistent with government-owned cannabis retailing only marginally affecting consumers’ alcohol purchasing, apparently triggering some substitution and co-use.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48364,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Drug Policy","volume":"142 ","pages":"Article 104840"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Drug Policy","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0955395925001409","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"SUBSTANCE ABUSE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
Cannabis legalization’s impacts partly depend on how it affects use of other substances like alcohol. This observational study analyzed alcohol sales in the Canadian province of Nova Scotia, where some government-owned stores sold both cannabis and alcohol.
Methods
The study compared monthly alcoholic beverage sales in Canadian dollars at Nova Scotia liquor stores during 17 months before cannabis legalization and 17 months afterward, i.e., May 2017 to February 2020. Comparative interrupted time series models of aggregate sales contrasted stores that kept selling only alcohol versus those that also began selling cannabis.
Results
Post-legalization alcohol sales by alcohol-only stores and cannabis-selling stores had significantly different initial responses, ongoing trends, and 17-month averages. Cannabis sellers saw initial increases of 0.55 % followed by monthly growth of 0.29 %, whereas alcohol-only stores saw initial decreases of 2.91 % followed by monthly growth of 0.06 %. Post-legalization alcohol sales consequently averaged 3.1 % above pre-legalization levels at cannabis sellers but 2.4 % below at alcohol-only stores; combined sales were 1.2 % below. Differences were larger for beers than for spirits or wines. Results were similar when considering similarly sized stores, stores’ proximity to cannabis sellers, and alternative model specifications.
Conclusions
Nova Scotia’s alcohol sales declined slightly after cannabis legalization, while changes at alcohol-only stores differed from those at stores also selling cannabis. The changes were consistent with government-owned cannabis retailing only marginally affecting consumers’ alcohol purchasing, apparently triggering some substitution and co-use.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Drug Policy provides a forum for the dissemination of current research, reviews, debate, and critical analysis on drug use and drug policy in a global context. It seeks to publish material on the social, political, legal, and health contexts of psychoactive substance use, both licit and illicit. The journal is particularly concerned to explore the effects of drug policy and practice on drug-using behaviour and its health and social consequences. It is the policy of the journal to represent a wide range of material on drug-related matters from around the world.