A Predictive Model for Acute Kidney Injury Based on Leukocyte-Related Indicators in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit.
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: This study aimed to develop and validate a straightforward clinical risk model utilizing white blood cell (WBC) counts to predict acute kidney injury (AKI) in critically sick patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods: Data were taken from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) database for the training cohort. Data for an internal validation cohort were obtained from the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD), while patients from our hospital were utilized for external validation. A risk model was created utilizing significant indicators identified through multivariate logistic regression, following logistic regression analysis to determine the primary predictors of WBC-related biomarkers for AKI prediction. The Kaplan-Meier curve was employed to evaluate the prognostic efficacy of the new risk model. Results: A total of 1628 critically sick HCC patients were enrolled. Among these, 23 (23.2%) patients at our hospital, 84 (17.9%) patients in the eICU-CRD database, and 379 (35.8%) patients in the MIMIC-IV database developed AKI. A unique risk model was developed based on leukocyte-related indicators following the multivariate logistic regression analysis, incorporating white blood cell to neutrophil ratio (WNR), white blood cell to monocyte ratio (WMR), white blood cell to hemoglobin ratio (WHR), and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR). This risk model exhibited robust predictive capability for AKI, in-hospital mortality, and ICU mortality across the training set, internal validation set, and external validation set. Conclusion: This risk model seems to have practical consequences as an innovative and accessible tool for forecasting the prognosis of critically ill HCC patients, which may, to some degree, aid in identifying equitable risk assessments and treatment strategies.
背景:本研究旨在建立和验证一种直接的临床风险模型,利用白细胞(WBC)计数预测重症肝细胞癌(HCC)患者的急性肾损伤(AKI)。方法:培训队列的数据来自重症监护医学信息市场- iv (MIMIC-IV)数据库。内部验证队列的数据来自eICU合作研究数据库(eICU- crd),而外部验证则使用我院的患者。利用多变量logistic回归确定的重要指标建立风险模型,并进行logistic回归分析,确定wbc相关生物标志物预测AKI的主要预测因子。采用Kaplan-Meier曲线评价新风险模型的预后效果。结果:共纳入HCC危重患者1628例。其中,我院23例(23.2%)、eICU-CRD数据库84例(17.9%)、MIMIC-IV数据库379例(35.8%)发生AKI。通过多元logistic回归分析,建立了基于白细胞相关指标的独特风险模型,包括白细胞与中性粒细胞比率(WNR)、白细胞与单核细胞比率(WMR)、白细胞与血红蛋白比率(WHR)和血小板与淋巴细胞比率(PLR)。该风险模型在训练集、内部验证集和外部验证集中对AKI、住院死亡率和ICU死亡率表现出强大的预测能力。结论:该风险模型作为预测危重HCC患者预后的一种创新和可获得的工具似乎具有实际意义,这可能在一定程度上有助于确定公平的风险评估和治疗策略。
期刊介绍:
Mediators of Inflammation is a peer-reviewed, Open Access journal that publishes original research and review articles on all types of inflammatory mediators, including cytokines, histamine, bradykinin, prostaglandins, leukotrienes, PAF, biological response modifiers and the family of cell adhesion-promoting molecules.