{"title":"Prognostic factors and effect of existing predictive models in oligo-metastatic urothelial carcinoma (YUSHIMA study).","authors":"Kenji Tanabe, Soichiro Yoshida, Tomoki Kimura, Yuya Maezawa, Kensaku Ishihara, Naoki Inoue, Keita Izumi, Motohiro Fujiwara, Masahiro Toide, Takanobu Yamamoto, Sho Uehara, Saori Araki, Masaharu Inoue, Ryoji Takazawa, Noboru Numao, Yukihiro Ohtsuka, Hajime Tanaka, Yasuhisa Fujii","doi":"10.1007/s10147-025-02759-5","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Oligo-metastatic urothelial carcinoma (OMUC), characterized by a limited number of metastases, demonstrates better survival outcomes compared to poly-metastatic urothelial carcinoma (PMUC), but some patients with OMUC exhibit poor prognosis. However, a comprehensive analysis of prognostic factors in OMUC remains lacking. This study aimed to determine prognostic factors in patients with OMUC from a multicenter dataset and evaluate the effect of existing predictive models.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective study included 443 patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (MUC) from 15 institutions (YUSHIMA study). OMUC involved cases with three or fewer metastases. Clinical data were analyzed for associations with overall survival (OS) utilizing Cox regression models. The effect of existing predictive models (Bajorin, Bellmunt, and Apolo) on OMUC prognosis was evaluated.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Patients with OMUC (n = 182) demonstrated better Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group-performance status (ECOG-PS) and lower visceral metastasis frequency compared to PMUC (n = 261). Patients with OMUC exhibited a median OS of 26.1 months vs. 13.7 months for PMUC (p < 0.01). Poor ECOG-PS, liver metastasis, and hypoalbuminemia appeared as independent poor prognostic factors for OS in OMUC. The Bajorin, Bellmunt, and Apolo models significantly correlated with OS in patients with OMUC (p < 0.01, for all).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Known prognostic factors for MUC were confirmed as significant prognostic factors for OS in OMUC, and existing prognostic models applied to OMUC. These results are expected to contribute to developing more effective treatment strategies for OMUC.</p>","PeriodicalId":13869,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Clinical Oncology","volume":" ","pages":"1237-1246"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Clinical Oncology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10147-025-02759-5","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/4/21 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ONCOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Oligo-metastatic urothelial carcinoma (OMUC), characterized by a limited number of metastases, demonstrates better survival outcomes compared to poly-metastatic urothelial carcinoma (PMUC), but some patients with OMUC exhibit poor prognosis. However, a comprehensive analysis of prognostic factors in OMUC remains lacking. This study aimed to determine prognostic factors in patients with OMUC from a multicenter dataset and evaluate the effect of existing predictive models.
Methods: This retrospective study included 443 patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (MUC) from 15 institutions (YUSHIMA study). OMUC involved cases with three or fewer metastases. Clinical data were analyzed for associations with overall survival (OS) utilizing Cox regression models. The effect of existing predictive models (Bajorin, Bellmunt, and Apolo) on OMUC prognosis was evaluated.
Results: Patients with OMUC (n = 182) demonstrated better Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group-performance status (ECOG-PS) and lower visceral metastasis frequency compared to PMUC (n = 261). Patients with OMUC exhibited a median OS of 26.1 months vs. 13.7 months for PMUC (p < 0.01). Poor ECOG-PS, liver metastasis, and hypoalbuminemia appeared as independent poor prognostic factors for OS in OMUC. The Bajorin, Bellmunt, and Apolo models significantly correlated with OS in patients with OMUC (p < 0.01, for all).
Conclusion: Known prognostic factors for MUC were confirmed as significant prognostic factors for OS in OMUC, and existing prognostic models applied to OMUC. These results are expected to contribute to developing more effective treatment strategies for OMUC.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Clinical Oncology (IJCO) welcomes original research papers on all aspects of clinical oncology that report the results of novel and timely investigations. Reports on clinical trials are encouraged. Experimental studies will also be accepted if they have obvious relevance to clinical oncology. Membership in the Japan Society of Clinical Oncology is not a prerequisite for submission to the journal. Papers are received on the understanding that: their contents have not been published in whole or in part elsewhere; that they are subject to peer review by at least two referees and the Editors, and to editorial revision of the language and contents; and that the Editors are responsible for their acceptance, rejection, and order of publication.