Twenty years of breast cancer epidemiology and treatment patterns in São Paulo, Brazil—observed versus expected treatment utilization in a retrospective cohort
Haydee Verduzco-Aguirre , Fernanda Mallucelli Favorito , Fabio Ynoe de Moraes , Gustavo Marta , Camila Tagle , Carlos Henrique dos Anjos , André Mattar , Brooke E. Wilson
{"title":"Twenty years of breast cancer epidemiology and treatment patterns in São Paulo, Brazil—observed versus expected treatment utilization in a retrospective cohort","authors":"Haydee Verduzco-Aguirre , Fernanda Mallucelli Favorito , Fabio Ynoe de Moraes , Gustavo Marta , Camila Tagle , Carlos Henrique dos Anjos , André Mattar , Brooke E. Wilson","doi":"10.1016/j.lana.2025.101115","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Over half of new breast cancer cases occur in low- and middle-income countries, with disparities in survival outcomes due to late-stage diagnoses, healthcare access gaps, and biological differences. This retrospective cohort study examined trends in survival, stage distribution, and treatment utilization for breast cancer in Brazil, an upper middle-income country.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Patients newly diagnosed with invasive breast cancer between 2000 and 2019 were identified from São Paulo’s Oncocenter Foundation registry. Data on demographics, diagnosis stage, diagnosis-to-treatment intervals, and treatments received were analyzed in 5-year blocks. Median overall survival was estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Actual treatment utilization was compared to model-based estimates of optimal utilization derived from the National Comprehensive Cancer Network Guidelines’ Enhanced and Maximal Resource Modules.</div></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><div>We included 125,005 patients, with a median age at diagnosis of 55 years (interquartile range 46–75); 99.4% (n = 124,218) were female. The proportion with early disease remained stable over time (61.7% in 2000–2004, 62.4% 2015–2019). Median overall survival increased from 10.7 years (2000–2004) to 11.7 years (2010–2014); median survival for 2015–2019 was not reached. Median overall survival was 20.8, 15.1, 6.8, and 2.0 years for stages I–IV, respectively. Median diagnosis-to-treatment interval more than doubled over time. From 2000 to 2004 to 2015–2019, chemotherapy use decreased from 71.5% to 68.9%; radiotherapy use decreased from 64.0% to 56.5%, and surgery utilization decreased from 80.3% to 74.8%; endocrine therapy use varied between 54% and 62%. Gaps between observed and model-based estimates of treatment utilization were seen across all stages.</div></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><div>Overall survival in patients with breast cancer in São Paulo has improved over time. However, significant treatment gaps and increasing diagnosis-to-treatment intervals suggest systemic barriers to optimal care delivery.</div></div><div><h3>Funding</h3><div>No funding received.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":29783,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Regional Health-Americas","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 101115"},"PeriodicalIF":7.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Lancet Regional Health-Americas","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667193X25001255","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
Over half of new breast cancer cases occur in low- and middle-income countries, with disparities in survival outcomes due to late-stage diagnoses, healthcare access gaps, and biological differences. This retrospective cohort study examined trends in survival, stage distribution, and treatment utilization for breast cancer in Brazil, an upper middle-income country.
Methods
Patients newly diagnosed with invasive breast cancer between 2000 and 2019 were identified from São Paulo’s Oncocenter Foundation registry. Data on demographics, diagnosis stage, diagnosis-to-treatment intervals, and treatments received were analyzed in 5-year blocks. Median overall survival was estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Actual treatment utilization was compared to model-based estimates of optimal utilization derived from the National Comprehensive Cancer Network Guidelines’ Enhanced and Maximal Resource Modules.
Findings
We included 125,005 patients, with a median age at diagnosis of 55 years (interquartile range 46–75); 99.4% (n = 124,218) were female. The proportion with early disease remained stable over time (61.7% in 2000–2004, 62.4% 2015–2019). Median overall survival increased from 10.7 years (2000–2004) to 11.7 years (2010–2014); median survival for 2015–2019 was not reached. Median overall survival was 20.8, 15.1, 6.8, and 2.0 years for stages I–IV, respectively. Median diagnosis-to-treatment interval more than doubled over time. From 2000 to 2004 to 2015–2019, chemotherapy use decreased from 71.5% to 68.9%; radiotherapy use decreased from 64.0% to 56.5%, and surgery utilization decreased from 80.3% to 74.8%; endocrine therapy use varied between 54% and 62%. Gaps between observed and model-based estimates of treatment utilization were seen across all stages.
Interpretation
Overall survival in patients with breast cancer in São Paulo has improved over time. However, significant treatment gaps and increasing diagnosis-to-treatment intervals suggest systemic barriers to optimal care delivery.
期刊介绍:
The Lancet Regional Health – Americas, an open-access journal, contributes to The Lancet's global initiative by focusing on health-care quality and access in the Americas. It aims to advance clinical practice and health policy in the region, promoting better health outcomes. The journal publishes high-quality original research advocating change or shedding light on clinical practice and health policy. It welcomes submissions on various regional health topics, including infectious diseases, non-communicable diseases, child and adolescent health, maternal and reproductive health, emergency care, health policy, and health equity.