{"title":"When Economic Prowess Is a Liability—Unpredictable Black Swan Events Such as the Financial Crisis and COVID-19 Pandemic Disrupt Hotel Value Dynamics","authors":"Ying Chen, Don Capener","doi":"10.1111/ajes.12615","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div>\n \n <p>This study examines the relationship between operating efficiency and firm value in the hotel industry during the most recent economic crises: the 2008–2009 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Both were Black Swan events that were difficult or impossible to predict in advance. Using a sample of 161,031 hotel firms from 1991 to 2023, we employ OLS and GLS regression models and seemingly unrelated regression analyses to perform the quantitative analysis. Our findings reveal that operating efficiency generally positively impacts firm value, but this relationship varies significantly depending on the nature of the crisis. During the financial crisis, the positive impact of efficiency on firm value was amplified, particularly for financially more robust hotels. Conversely, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the efficiency-value relationship remained stable, with financially more robust hotels experiencing a more pronounced negative impact. These results highlight the need for context-specific approaches to hotel financial management and valuation during Black Swan events, contributing to the literature on hospitality crisis management and financial performance.</p>\n </div>","PeriodicalId":47133,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Economics and Sociology","volume":"84 3","pages":"521-534"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"American Journal of Economics and Sociology","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ajes.12615","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study examines the relationship between operating efficiency and firm value in the hotel industry during the most recent economic crises: the 2008–2009 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Both were Black Swan events that were difficult or impossible to predict in advance. Using a sample of 161,031 hotel firms from 1991 to 2023, we employ OLS and GLS regression models and seemingly unrelated regression analyses to perform the quantitative analysis. Our findings reveal that operating efficiency generally positively impacts firm value, but this relationship varies significantly depending on the nature of the crisis. During the financial crisis, the positive impact of efficiency on firm value was amplified, particularly for financially more robust hotels. Conversely, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the efficiency-value relationship remained stable, with financially more robust hotels experiencing a more pronounced negative impact. These results highlight the need for context-specific approaches to hotel financial management and valuation during Black Swan events, contributing to the literature on hospitality crisis management and financial performance.
期刊介绍:
The American Journal of Economics and Sociology (AJES) was founded in 1941, with support from the Robert Schalkenbach Foundation, to encourage the development of transdisciplinary solutions to social problems. In the introduction to the first issue, John Dewey observed that “the hostile state of the world and the intellectual division that has been built up in so-called ‘social science,’ are … reflections and expressions of the same fundamental causes.” Dewey commended this journal for its intention to promote “synthesis in the social field.” Dewey wrote those words almost six decades after the social science associations split off from the American Historical Association in pursuit of value-free knowledge derived from specialized disciplines. Since he wrote them, academic or disciplinary specialization has become even more pronounced. Multi-disciplinary work is superficially extolled in major universities, but practices and incentives still favor highly specialized work. The result is that academia has become a bastion of analytic excellence, breaking phenomena into components for intensive investigation, but it contributes little synthetic or holistic understanding that can aid society in finding solutions to contemporary problems. Analytic work remains important, but in response to the current lop-sided emphasis on specialization, the board of AJES has decided to return to its roots by emphasizing a more integrated and practical approach to knowledge.