{"title":"Does U.S. monetary policy sway global crypto investment demand?","authors":"Martin Hodula","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2025.107408","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how U.S. monetary policy shocks influence cryptocurrency demand, using novel data on cryptocurrency app usage and downloads from G20 nations between 2015 and 2022. We find that monetary tightening reduces demand, with standard policy shocks causing persistent declines in downloads and usage. While Bitcoin bull markets help mitigate this effect, they do not fully offset it. In contrast, large-scale asset purchase shocks increase app usage, reflecting heightened engagement from existing users, while forward guidance shocks drive speculative interest, particularly in crypto app downloads. These findings underscore the complex interaction between monetary policy and retail cryptocurrency participation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":"80 ","pages":"Article 107408"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Finance Research Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325006683","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This paper examines how U.S. monetary policy shocks influence cryptocurrency demand, using novel data on cryptocurrency app usage and downloads from G20 nations between 2015 and 2022. We find that monetary tightening reduces demand, with standard policy shocks causing persistent declines in downloads and usage. While Bitcoin bull markets help mitigate this effect, they do not fully offset it. In contrast, large-scale asset purchase shocks increase app usage, reflecting heightened engagement from existing users, while forward guidance shocks drive speculative interest, particularly in crypto app downloads. These findings underscore the complex interaction between monetary policy and retail cryptocurrency participation.
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