{"title":"Clinical efficacy of anti-amyloid antibodies in apolipoprotein E ε4 homozygotes: A Bayesian reanalysis of lecanemab and donanemab phase 3 results","authors":"Stefan Teipel, Yi Tang, Ara Khachaturian","doi":"10.1002/trc2.70083","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div>\n \n \n <section>\n \n <h3> INTRODUCTION</h3>\n \n <p>We aimed to determine the clinical efficacy of treating apolipoprotein E (ApoE) ε4 homozygotes with recently approved anti-amyloid antibodies.</p>\n </section>\n \n <section>\n \n <h3> METHODS</h3>\n \n <p>Data were derived from supplementary analyses in the regulatory studies Clarity (lecanemab) and TRAILBLAZER-ALZ2 (donanemab). We used Bayesian reanalysis with an independent t-statistic to determine evidence for or against an effect of antibody treatment on Clinical Dementia Rating scale Sum of Boxes (CDR-SB) in ApoE ε4 homozygotes, and a Bayesian random-effect meta-analysis to determine the effect size.</p>\n </section>\n \n <section>\n \n <h3> RESULTS</h3>\n \n <p>The Bayesian reanalysis showed moderate evidence of no effect for both antibodies. For donanemab and lecanemab, the odds of no difference in treatment effect were nearly three times greater than the odds of a difference. The meta-analysis revealed a small effect of −0.06 CDR-SB points in favor of treatment with a moderate heterogeneity estimate. The Bayes factor was 0.26, indicating that the absence of an effect was almost four times more likely than the presence of an effect.</p>\n </section>\n \n <section>\n \n <h3> DISCUSSION</h3>\n \n <p>The most likely explanation for our results is the lack of a treatment effect for lecanemab and donanemab in ApoE <i>ε</i>4 homozygotes. This could reflect inadequate exposure to the antibody due to more severe side effects, subsequent treatment interruptions, and lower dosing or a biologically driven lack of efficacy in a genetically determined disease. Our results support the view that excluding these cases from treatment is justifiable because of the higher risk of side effects and the lack of clinical efficacy.</p>\n </section>\n \n <section>\n \n <h3> Highlights</h3>\n \n <div>\n <ul>\n \n <li>Lecanemab and donanemab were clinically ineffective in ApoE ε4 homozygotes.</li>\n \n <li>ApoE ε4 homozygotes should not receive these treatments due to inefficacy.</li>\n \n <li>Future trials should adopt Bayesian analysis strategies.</li>\n \n <li>Bayesian analysis provides evidence for or against treatment effects.</li>\n \n <li>Bayesian inference provides clinically interpretable results.</li>\n </ul>\n </div>\n </section>\n </div>","PeriodicalId":53225,"journal":{"name":"Alzheimer''s and Dementia: Translational Research and Clinical Interventions","volume":"11 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/trc2.70083","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Alzheimer''s and Dementia: Translational Research and Clinical Interventions","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/trc2.70083","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CLINICAL NEUROLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
INTRODUCTION
We aimed to determine the clinical efficacy of treating apolipoprotein E (ApoE) ε4 homozygotes with recently approved anti-amyloid antibodies.
METHODS
Data were derived from supplementary analyses in the regulatory studies Clarity (lecanemab) and TRAILBLAZER-ALZ2 (donanemab). We used Bayesian reanalysis with an independent t-statistic to determine evidence for or against an effect of antibody treatment on Clinical Dementia Rating scale Sum of Boxes (CDR-SB) in ApoE ε4 homozygotes, and a Bayesian random-effect meta-analysis to determine the effect size.
RESULTS
The Bayesian reanalysis showed moderate evidence of no effect for both antibodies. For donanemab and lecanemab, the odds of no difference in treatment effect were nearly three times greater than the odds of a difference. The meta-analysis revealed a small effect of −0.06 CDR-SB points in favor of treatment with a moderate heterogeneity estimate. The Bayes factor was 0.26, indicating that the absence of an effect was almost four times more likely than the presence of an effect.
DISCUSSION
The most likely explanation for our results is the lack of a treatment effect for lecanemab and donanemab in ApoE ε4 homozygotes. This could reflect inadequate exposure to the antibody due to more severe side effects, subsequent treatment interruptions, and lower dosing or a biologically driven lack of efficacy in a genetically determined disease. Our results support the view that excluding these cases from treatment is justifiable because of the higher risk of side effects and the lack of clinical efficacy.
Highlights
Lecanemab and donanemab were clinically ineffective in ApoE ε4 homozygotes.
ApoE ε4 homozygotes should not receive these treatments due to inefficacy.
Future trials should adopt Bayesian analysis strategies.
Bayesian analysis provides evidence for or against treatment effects.
期刊介绍:
Alzheimer''s & Dementia: Translational Research & Clinical Interventions (TRCI) is a peer-reviewed, open access,journal from the Alzheimer''s Association®. The journal seeks to bridge the full scope of explorations between basic research on drug discovery and clinical studies, validating putative therapies for aging-related chronic brain conditions that affect cognition, motor functions, and other behavioral or clinical symptoms associated with all forms dementia and Alzheimer''s disease. The journal will publish findings from diverse domains of research and disciplines to accelerate the conversion of abstract facts into practical knowledge: specifically, to translate what is learned at the bench into bedside applications. The journal seeks to publish articles that go beyond a singular emphasis on either basic drug discovery research or clinical research. Rather, an important theme of articles will be the linkages between and among the various discrete steps in the complex continuum of therapy development. For rapid communication among a multidisciplinary research audience involving the range of therapeutic interventions, TRCI will consider only original contributions that include feature length research articles, systematic reviews, meta-analyses, brief reports, narrative reviews, commentaries, letters, perspectives, and research news that would advance wide range of interventions to ameliorate symptoms or alter the progression of chronic neurocognitive disorders such as dementia and Alzheimer''s disease. The journal will publish on topics related to medicine, geriatrics, neuroscience, neurophysiology, neurology, psychiatry, clinical psychology, bioinformatics, pharmaco-genetics, regulatory issues, health economics, pharmacoeconomics, and public health policy as these apply to preclinical and clinical research on therapeutics.