{"title":"A Closed-Form Formula for Pricing European Options With Stochastic Volatility, Regime Switching, and Stochastic Market Liquidity","authors":"Xin-Jiang He, Hang Chen, Sha Lin","doi":"10.1002/fut.22573","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div>\n \n <p>We consider European option pricing when the volatility of the underlying stock is stochastic and affected by economic cycles. We further assume that market liquidity risks have a significant impact on the price of the stock that is not negligible, and stock prices should be adjusted according to a liquidity discounting factor. For the purpose of option pricing, we transform the established model dynamics under the physical measure into those under a risk-neutral measure, which forms a foundation in the subsequent closed-form derivation of the characteristic function. An analytical option pricing formula is then obtained, and numerical tests together with sensitivity analysis are also performed. Through an empirical analysis, we demonstrate that our model, which incorporates stochastic liquidity, significantly outperforms the version with constant liquidity.</p>\n </div>","PeriodicalId":15863,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Futures Markets","volume":"45 5","pages":"429-440"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Futures Markets","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/fut.22573","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We consider European option pricing when the volatility of the underlying stock is stochastic and affected by economic cycles. We further assume that market liquidity risks have a significant impact on the price of the stock that is not negligible, and stock prices should be adjusted according to a liquidity discounting factor. For the purpose of option pricing, we transform the established model dynamics under the physical measure into those under a risk-neutral measure, which forms a foundation in the subsequent closed-form derivation of the characteristic function. An analytical option pricing formula is then obtained, and numerical tests together with sensitivity analysis are also performed. Through an empirical analysis, we demonstrate that our model, which incorporates stochastic liquidity, significantly outperforms the version with constant liquidity.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Futures Markets chronicles the latest developments in financial futures and derivatives. It publishes timely, innovative articles written by leading finance academics and professionals. Coverage ranges from the highly practical to theoretical topics that include futures, derivatives, risk management and control, financial engineering, new financial instruments, hedging strategies, analysis of trading systems, legal, accounting, and regulatory issues, and portfolio optimization. This publication contains the very latest research from the top experts.