Junjian Shen, Qin Li, Lei Li, Tianyu Lu, Jun Han, Zongyu Xie, Peng Wang, Zirui Cao, Mengsu Zeng, Jianjun Zhou, Tianzhu Yu, Yaolin Xu, Haitao Sun
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objectives: To develop and validate a contrast-enhanced MRI-based intratumoral heterogeneity (ITH) model for predicting lymph node (LN) metastasis in resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).
Methods: Lesions were encoded into different habitats based on enhancement ratios at arterial, venous, and delayed phases of contrast-enhanced MRI. Habitat models on enhanced ratio mapping and single sequences, radiomic models, and clinical models were developed for evaluating LN metastasis. The performance of the models was evaluated via different metrics. Additionally, patients were stratified into high-risk and low-risk groups based on an ensembled model to assess prognosis after adjuvant therapy.
Results: We developed an ensembled radiomics-habitat-clinical (RHC) model that integrates radiomics, habitat, and clinical data for precise prediction of LN metastasis in PDAC. The RHC model showed strong predictive performance, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.805, 0.779, and 0.615 in the derivation, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively. Using an optimal threshold of 0.46, the model effectively stratified patients, revealing significant differences in recurrence-free survival and overall survival (OS) (p = 0.004 and p < 0.001). Adjuvant therapy improved OS in the high-risk group (p = 0.004), but no significant benefit was observed in the low-risk group (p = 0.069).
Conclusion: We developed an MRI-based ITH model that provides reliable estimates of LN metastasis for resectable PDAC and may offer additional value in guiding clinical decision-making.
Critical relevance statement: This ensemble RHC model facilitates preoperative prediction of LN metastasis in resectable PDAC using contrast-enhanced MRI. This offers a foundation for enhanced prognostic assessment and supports the management of personalized adjuvant treatment strategies.
Key points: MRI-based habitat models can predict LN metastasis in PDAC. Both the radiomics model and clinical characteristics were useful for predicting LN metastasis in PDAC. The RHC models have the potential to enhance predictive accuracy and inform personalized therapeutic decisions.
期刊介绍:
Insights into Imaging (I³) is a peer-reviewed open access journal published under the brand SpringerOpen. All content published in the journal is freely available online to anyone, anywhere!
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The journal went open access in 2012, which means that all articles published since then are freely available online.