Predictors of Postoperative Hospital-Acquired Infection and Mortality Following Cardiac Surgery in a Low-Income Country: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Camila Sales Fagundes, Diego Chemello, Luana Quintana Marchesan, Vitória Carolina Kohlrausch, Rafael Fortes Locateli, Eduardo Porto Santos, Isabella Klafke Brixner, Valéria Maria Limberger Bayer, Mateus Diniz Marques
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Abstract

Introduction: Recognizing the risk factors for postoperative hospital-acquired infection and mortality is crucial for better outcomes. We aimed to determine the risk predictors for postoperative hospital-acquired infection and death following cardiac surgery.

Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study that included 880 consecutive adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery between 2015 and 2021. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to assess the predictors of postoperative hospital-acquired infection and mortality.

Results: Patients who developed postoperative hospital-acquired infection had higher values on European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation score (4.01% vs. 2.51%; P=0.001), as well as longer hospital preoperative stay (9.44 vs. 8.28 days; P=0.049) and hospital length of stay (28.41 vs. 16.16 days; P<0.001). After multivariable analysis, predictors of postoperative hospital-acquired infection were longer hospital preoperative stay (odds ratio 1.024; 95% confidence interval 1.005-1.044; P=0.009), higher body mass index (odds ratio 1.043; 95% confidence interval 1.008-1.079; P=0.015), and longer extracorporeal circulation time (odds ratio 1.007; 95% confidence interval 1.003-1.012; P<0.001). Both longer extracorporeal circulations time and postoperative hospital-acquired infection were significantly associated with higher mortality before hospital discharge (odds ratio 1.012; 95% confidence interval 1.006-1.019; P<0.001; and odds ratio 2.418; 95% confidence interval 1.385-4.233; P=0.001, respectively).

Conclusion: Extended preoperative hospitalization, body mass index, and extracorporeal circulation time are correlated with heightened postoperative hospital-acquired infection rates. Moreover, longer extracorporeal circulation time and postoperative hospital-acquired infection incidence emerged as significant predictors of mortality following cardiac surgery.

低收入国家心脏手术后医院获得性感染和死亡率的预测因素:一项回顾性队列研究
认识到术后医院获得性感染和死亡率的危险因素对更好的预后至关重要。我们的目的是确定心脏手术后医院获得性感染和死亡的风险预测因素。方法:这是一项回顾性队列研究,纳入了2015年至2021年间接受心脏手术的880名连续成年患者。采用多变量logistic回归评估术后医院获得性感染和死亡率的预测因素。结果:术后发生医院获得性感染的患者在欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统评分(4.01% vs 2.51%;P=0.001),以及更长的术前住院时间(9.44天比8.28天;P=0.049)和住院时间(28.41 vs. 16.16天;结论:延长术前住院时间、体重指数和体外循环时间与术后医院获得性感染率增高相关。此外,较长的体外循环时间和术后医院获得性感染发生率成为心脏手术后死亡率的重要预测因素。
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