Farasat A. S. Bokhari, Abel Brodeur, Michalis Drouvelis
{"title":"Introduction to the symposium on reproducibility and replicability in economics: Part I","authors":"Farasat A. S. Bokhari, Abel Brodeur, Michalis Drouvelis","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13285","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Reproducibility and replicability are cornerstones of scientific progress, ensuring that findings can withstand scrutiny and that results hold under varied analyses. In economics, these principles support a self-correcting system, fostering more reliable empirical research and more robust foundations for policy design. However, despite the recognition of replication's importance, many empirical studies, particularly non-experimental ones, lack rigorous replication. This symposium of <i>Economic Inquiry</i> aims to address this gap, presenting new research that underscores the need for reproduction and replication, particularly in non-experimental studies, and proposes innovative approaches to overcoming the practical challenges of replicability in economics. Due to the volume of high-quality submissions we received, we have divided this symposium into two parts. This first part highlights key methodological advances and remaining challenges that contribute to the broader conversation on reproducibility and replicability in economics. A forthcoming second part will continue this exploration, further showcasing reproductions and replications of seminal and well-cited articles.</p><p>Our call for papers sought empirical replications, methodological advances, and theoretical contributions that enrich our understanding of replication's role in economic research. The selected papers in this first part introduce new methodological tools and provide frameworks for conducting and evaluating the effectiveness of reproductions and replications. These contributions advance our collective understanding of what it means for economics to be a replicable and self-correcting science. We provide a short summary of each article below.</p><p>The symposium's first article, “A Framework for Evaluating Reproducibility and Replicability in Economics”, proposes a structured approach to assess these core aspects of scientific reliability in economics. By distinguishing between various types of reproducibility (computational, recreate, robustness) and replicability (direct, conceptual), and introducing clear indicators to measure each, the article offers a practical and theoretically grounded framework that addresses long-standing ambiguities in the field. This contribution is particularly significant in the context of increasing efforts to improve transparency and credibility in economics research.</p><p>The article “Replication Code Availability Over Time and Across Fields: Evidence From the German Data Archive for Business and Economic Studies” provides trends in replication code availability over time and across disciplines by examining studies that used the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) data, which, while restricted, is available to researchers and has been used in over 2500 articles in economics and social sciences. By concentrating on studies with large common data, the study highlights both progress and ongoing challenges in making replication code accessible and addresses a critical aspect of reproducibility infrastructure in academic research. This focus aligns with the theme of the special issue by contributing valuable insights into how the availability of replication materials influences the broader landscape of research credibility and transparency. The findings also provide actionable recommendations for institutions and researchers, emphasizing the importance of replication practices in advancing robust scientific inquiry.</p><p>In the paper titled “Underpowered Studies and Exaggerated Effects: A Replication and Re-evaluation of the Magnitude of Anchoring Effects” the authors replicate a field experiment investigating the effects of anchoring on consumer willingness to pay. The study revealed substantially smaller anchoring effects than previously reported in the literature and the authors argue that earlier studies, often underpowered, overestimated the magnitude of anchoring effects. Their results highlight the need for higher-powered studies and challenge widespread evidence of large anchoring effects, documented in previous studies.</p><p>The next two articles provide methodological insights to facilitate reproducibility and replicability.</p><p>First, the article “Dynare Replication of ‘A Model of Secular Stagnation: Theory and Quantitative Evaluation’ by Eggertsson et al. (2019)” replicates a significant macroeconomic study using the Dynare software. They validate the findings of the original work while addressing discrepancies between the original paper's equations and its Matlab implementation. This effort not only enhances transparency but also lowers the barriers for researchers engaging with complex overlapping generation models. Moreover, the article demonstrates how Dynare can handle large-scale models with occasionally binding constraints, offering practical insights into computational techniques.</p><p>Second, the article “Reducing the Replication Time for Structural Estimations: A Successful Replication of 'An Anatomy of International Trade’ Using GPU Computing” replicates a complex structural estimation model from a landmark study using GPU computing and significantly enhances computational efficiency—reducing runtime by orders of magnitude. This advancement not only validates the original findings but also provides a practical framework for addressing computational barriers in replication efforts. The inclusion of a “wide replication,” applying the original model to Chinese firm data, further underscores the article's relevance by demonstrating the robustness of the model across contexts.</p><p>Next, the study “Researchers' Degrees of Flexibility: Revisiting COVID-19 Policy Evaluations” evaluates the impacts of mobility restrictions during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. The authors offer evidence that seemingly minor methodological decisions, such as outcome variable transformations and covariate selection, can significantly affect the estimated policy effects. The study emphasizes the importance of employing more robust estimation techniques and considering a wider range of methodological choices.</p><p>Finally, the article “Is Economics Self-Correcting? Replications in the American Economic Review” concludes this symposium by providing a critical examination of whether reproduction and replication in economics achieve their intended effect. Analyzing reproductions and replications published as comments in the American Economic Review from 2010 to 2020, the study reveals their limited impact on citation trends of original papers and identifies a lack of consensus about their significance among authors. This underscores broader challenges in defining and achieving robustness and replicability in economics.</p><p>The papers in this symposium emphasize the breadth and importance of reproduction and replication across different domains within economics. Through continued attention to reproducibility and replicability, particularly in complex and high-stakes areas like policy evaluation and structural modeling, the field can move closer to a standard where empirical findings are more transparent, robust, and reliable.</p><p>These studies highlight significant progress in reproduction and replication efforts, yet systemic challenges persist. Issues such as weak incentives for replication, computational and methodological barriers, and the limited influence of reproduction and replication studies continue to hinder the field's self-correcting capacity. Overcoming these challenges require a concerted and sustained effort from the discipline.</p><p>Equally important is what these studies do not address—perhaps due to their focus on replicable research. They leave open critical questions: Is there a growing reliance on proprietary or administrative data that cannot be reproduced and replicated? Or is the discipline's increasing emphasis on replication influencing research practices in a meaningful way? Understanding these dynamics is essential for strengthening the credibility and transparency of economic research.</p><p>We hope that this symposium inspires further work in reproduction and replication and fosters a culture where reproducibility is not just encouraged but integral to the research process. We extend our gratitude to all contributors and reviewers for their dedication to this mission and look forward to the continued evolution of replication science within economics.</p>","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"63 2","pages":"335-337"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecin.13285","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Inquiry","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ecin.13285","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Reproducibility and replicability are cornerstones of scientific progress, ensuring that findings can withstand scrutiny and that results hold under varied analyses. In economics, these principles support a self-correcting system, fostering more reliable empirical research and more robust foundations for policy design. However, despite the recognition of replication's importance, many empirical studies, particularly non-experimental ones, lack rigorous replication. This symposium of Economic Inquiry aims to address this gap, presenting new research that underscores the need for reproduction and replication, particularly in non-experimental studies, and proposes innovative approaches to overcoming the practical challenges of replicability in economics. Due to the volume of high-quality submissions we received, we have divided this symposium into two parts. This first part highlights key methodological advances and remaining challenges that contribute to the broader conversation on reproducibility and replicability in economics. A forthcoming second part will continue this exploration, further showcasing reproductions and replications of seminal and well-cited articles.
Our call for papers sought empirical replications, methodological advances, and theoretical contributions that enrich our understanding of replication's role in economic research. The selected papers in this first part introduce new methodological tools and provide frameworks for conducting and evaluating the effectiveness of reproductions and replications. These contributions advance our collective understanding of what it means for economics to be a replicable and self-correcting science. We provide a short summary of each article below.
The symposium's first article, “A Framework for Evaluating Reproducibility and Replicability in Economics”, proposes a structured approach to assess these core aspects of scientific reliability in economics. By distinguishing between various types of reproducibility (computational, recreate, robustness) and replicability (direct, conceptual), and introducing clear indicators to measure each, the article offers a practical and theoretically grounded framework that addresses long-standing ambiguities in the field. This contribution is particularly significant in the context of increasing efforts to improve transparency and credibility in economics research.
The article “Replication Code Availability Over Time and Across Fields: Evidence From the German Data Archive for Business and Economic Studies” provides trends in replication code availability over time and across disciplines by examining studies that used the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) data, which, while restricted, is available to researchers and has been used in over 2500 articles in economics and social sciences. By concentrating on studies with large common data, the study highlights both progress and ongoing challenges in making replication code accessible and addresses a critical aspect of reproducibility infrastructure in academic research. This focus aligns with the theme of the special issue by contributing valuable insights into how the availability of replication materials influences the broader landscape of research credibility and transparency. The findings also provide actionable recommendations for institutions and researchers, emphasizing the importance of replication practices in advancing robust scientific inquiry.
In the paper titled “Underpowered Studies and Exaggerated Effects: A Replication and Re-evaluation of the Magnitude of Anchoring Effects” the authors replicate a field experiment investigating the effects of anchoring on consumer willingness to pay. The study revealed substantially smaller anchoring effects than previously reported in the literature and the authors argue that earlier studies, often underpowered, overestimated the magnitude of anchoring effects. Their results highlight the need for higher-powered studies and challenge widespread evidence of large anchoring effects, documented in previous studies.
The next two articles provide methodological insights to facilitate reproducibility and replicability.
First, the article “Dynare Replication of ‘A Model of Secular Stagnation: Theory and Quantitative Evaluation’ by Eggertsson et al. (2019)” replicates a significant macroeconomic study using the Dynare software. They validate the findings of the original work while addressing discrepancies between the original paper's equations and its Matlab implementation. This effort not only enhances transparency but also lowers the barriers for researchers engaging with complex overlapping generation models. Moreover, the article demonstrates how Dynare can handle large-scale models with occasionally binding constraints, offering practical insights into computational techniques.
Second, the article “Reducing the Replication Time for Structural Estimations: A Successful Replication of 'An Anatomy of International Trade’ Using GPU Computing” replicates a complex structural estimation model from a landmark study using GPU computing and significantly enhances computational efficiency—reducing runtime by orders of magnitude. This advancement not only validates the original findings but also provides a practical framework for addressing computational barriers in replication efforts. The inclusion of a “wide replication,” applying the original model to Chinese firm data, further underscores the article's relevance by demonstrating the robustness of the model across contexts.
Next, the study “Researchers' Degrees of Flexibility: Revisiting COVID-19 Policy Evaluations” evaluates the impacts of mobility restrictions during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. The authors offer evidence that seemingly minor methodological decisions, such as outcome variable transformations and covariate selection, can significantly affect the estimated policy effects. The study emphasizes the importance of employing more robust estimation techniques and considering a wider range of methodological choices.
Finally, the article “Is Economics Self-Correcting? Replications in the American Economic Review” concludes this symposium by providing a critical examination of whether reproduction and replication in economics achieve their intended effect. Analyzing reproductions and replications published as comments in the American Economic Review from 2010 to 2020, the study reveals their limited impact on citation trends of original papers and identifies a lack of consensus about their significance among authors. This underscores broader challenges in defining and achieving robustness and replicability in economics.
The papers in this symposium emphasize the breadth and importance of reproduction and replication across different domains within economics. Through continued attention to reproducibility and replicability, particularly in complex and high-stakes areas like policy evaluation and structural modeling, the field can move closer to a standard where empirical findings are more transparent, robust, and reliable.
These studies highlight significant progress in reproduction and replication efforts, yet systemic challenges persist. Issues such as weak incentives for replication, computational and methodological barriers, and the limited influence of reproduction and replication studies continue to hinder the field's self-correcting capacity. Overcoming these challenges require a concerted and sustained effort from the discipline.
Equally important is what these studies do not address—perhaps due to their focus on replicable research. They leave open critical questions: Is there a growing reliance on proprietary or administrative data that cannot be reproduced and replicated? Or is the discipline's increasing emphasis on replication influencing research practices in a meaningful way? Understanding these dynamics is essential for strengthening the credibility and transparency of economic research.
We hope that this symposium inspires further work in reproduction and replication and fosters a culture where reproducibility is not just encouraged but integral to the research process. We extend our gratitude to all contributors and reviewers for their dedication to this mission and look forward to the continued evolution of replication science within economics.
可重复性和可复制性是科学进步的基石,可确保研究结果经得起检验,并确保结果在各种分析中都能成立。在经济学中,这些原则支持自我纠正系统,促进更可靠的实证研究和更稳健的政策设计基础。然而,尽管人们认识到复制的重要性,但许多实证研究,尤其是非实验研究,缺乏严格的复制。本期《经济学探究》专题讨论会旨在弥补这一不足,介绍强调复制和推广(尤其是非实验研究)必要性的新研究,并提出创新方法以克服经济学中可复制性的实际挑战。由于我们收到了大量高质量的来稿,我们将本次研讨会分为两个部分。第一部分重点介绍了在方法论方面取得的主要进展和仍然存在的挑战,这些进展和挑战有助于就经济学中的可重复性和可复制性展开更广泛的讨论。即将发布的第二部分将继续这一探索,进一步展示开创性文章和被广泛引用的文章的再现和复制。我们征集论文的目的是寻求经验复制、方法论进展和理论贡献,以丰富我们对复制在经济研究中的作用的理解。第一部分中的入选论文介绍了新的方法论工具,并提供了进行复制和再现并评估其有效性的框架。这些论文推动了我们对经济学作为一门可复制和自我修正的科学的集体理解。研讨会的第一篇文章《评估经济学中的再现性和可复制性的框架》提出了一种结构化的方法来评估经济学中科学可靠性的这些核心方面。通过区分各种类型的再现性(计算、再现、稳健性)和可复制性(直接、概念),并引入明确的指标来衡量每种类型,这篇文章提供了一个实用且有理论基础的框架,解决了该领域长期存在的模糊问题。在经济学研究日益努力提高透明度和可信度的背景下,这一贡献尤为重要:德国商业和经济研究数据档案的证据 "一文通过研究使用德国社会经济面板(SOEP)数据的研究,提供了不同时期和不同学科的复制代码可用性趋势。通过集中研究具有大量通用数据的研究,本研究突出了在使复制代码可访问方面所取得的进展和面临的挑战,并解决了学术研究中可复制性基础设施的一个重要方面。这一重点与特刊的主题相吻合,对复制材料的可用性如何影响更广泛的研究可信度和透明度提供了有价值的见解。研究结果还为研究机构和研究人员提供了可操作的建议,强调了复制实践在推进有力的科学探索方面的重要性:在这篇题为《力量不足的研究和夸大的效果:对锚定效果大小的复制和重新评估》的论文中,作者复制了一项实地实验,调查锚定对消费者支付意愿的影响。研究结果显示,锚定效应远远小于以前的文献报道。作者认为,以前的研究往往动力不足,高估了锚定效应的程度。接下来的两篇文章提供了方法论上的见解,以促进可重复性和可复制性。首先,文章 "Dynare Replication of 'A Model of Secular Stagnation:Theory and Quantitative Evaluation' by Eggertsson et al. (2019) "一文利用 Dynare 软件复制了一项重要的宏观经济研究。他们验证了原作的研究结果,同时解决了原作方程与 Matlab 实现之间的差异。这项工作不仅提高了透明度,还降低了研究人员处理复杂的重叠生成模型的门槛。此外,文章还展示了 Dynare 如何处理偶尔存在绑定约束的大规模模型,为计算技术提供了实用的见解。
期刊介绍:
Published since 1962, (formerly Western Economic Journal), EI is widely regarded as one of the top scholarly journals in its field. Besides containing research on all economics topic areas, a principal objective is to make each article understandable to economists who are not necessarily specialists in the article topic area. Nine Nobel laureates are among EI long list of prestigious authors.