Sociodemographic characteristics associated with pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality among Blacks in the United States: a SEER-based study.

Abstract

Pancreatic cancer (PC) is the third leading cause of all cancer-related fatalities and accounts for approximately 3% of cancer cases in the United States. PC survival rates are lower in Blacks compared to other races, and this has been attributed to socioeconomic and genetic factors. In this study, we evaluated sociodemographic and genetic characteristics associated with PC incidence and mortality among Blacks. Data from the SEER 22 registries (2000-2020) were used to calculate the incidence rates and relative survival. County mortality rates from 2017 to 2021 were analyzed. Incidence rate ratios based on gender, age, primary disease site, stage, level of education, and poverty were calculated. Survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan-Meier method. Mutant gene expression was obtained from the MSK-CHORD tumor registry. Overall, 48,606 Black patients were diagnosed with malignant PC between 2000 and 2020: females (53.53%) and males (46.47%). Both males and females experienced a slight increase in Annual Percent Change (APC) of PC incidence (0.24, 95% CI, -0.02-0.53) and (0.22, 95% CI, -0.05-0.51), respectively, from 2000 to 2020. Males aged 55 to 75 years were most frequently affected. Overall incidence risk from 2000-2020 by age was higher in Black males IRR > 1 (1.18, 95% CI, 1.16-1.21). The most common primary PC site for Black males and females was the head of the pancreas, 49.06% and 49.88%, respectively. By staging, distant PC had the highest frequency in Blacks. Poverty level was associated with PC incidence among females and PC mortality among both males and females. Stage was associated with survival among males with localized and regional PC. The 5-year relative survival was less than 11% across combined PC stages for both sexes. Black males had a relatively lower 5-year survival than Black females in localized (31.7 vs. 37.2%) and distant PC (2.6% vs. 2.90%). Mutant KRAS expression was higher in Black males. PC incidence and mortality were significantly higher in Black males. Our analysis points to the importance of poverty alleviation programs that target females are likely to reduce PC incidence. Furthermore, receiving recommended screening for PC and early-stage diagnostics is important to lower PC mortality.