Derivation and Validation of Risk Score Including Nutritional Status Among Patients With Chronic Limb-threatening Ischemia: Insight From I-PAD NAGANO Registry.
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Purpose: Geriatric nutritional related index (GNRI) is a simple and well-established screening method of nutritional status. We aimed to develop and validate a scoring system including GNRI to predict long-term outcomes in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) undergoing endovascular treatment (EVT).
Materials and methods: Patients undergoing EVT for symptomatic LEAD from August 2015 to August 2016 were enrolled into the I-PAD NAGANO registry, a prospective, multicenter, observational registry. We identified predictors of amputation-free survival (AFS) at 5 years using Cox proportional hazards regression and developed a risk scoring system. The predictive performance of the risk score was assessed.
Results: A total of 126 patients with CLTI were analyzed. Cox multivariate analysis revealed GNRI score <92 points, ≥72 years of age, hemodialysis, heart failure, and anemia to be significant predictors. We developed a 5-item risk score (I-PAD CLTI score) assigning points to each factor based on the magnitude of association with AFS at 5 years. The I-PAD CLTI score showed a c-index of 0.80 for 5-year AFS. Patients with high score (≥7 points, n=50) had an increased risk of AFS at 5 years compared with those with low score (<7 points, n=68) (26.5% vs 72.1%, p<0.001).
Conclusion: A simple 5-item risk score including nutritional status showed reasonable discriminative and prognostic ability for long-term AFS among patients with CLTI.
Clinical impact: The I-PAD CLTI score, a simple five-item risk score including nutritional status determined by geriatric nutritional related index, showed reasonable discriminative and prognostic ability for long-term amputation free survival among patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia. This risk score may be useful for clinicians to accurately predict patient's prognosis and thus identify high-risk patients who may derive the greater clinical benefit from more intensive risk modification. Further research is required to test the clinical utility of risk-score-based treatment approach to improve the prognosis of patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of Endovascular Therapy (formerly the Journal of Endovascular Surgery) was established in 1994 as a forum for all physicians, scientists, and allied healthcare professionals who are engaged or interested in peripheral endovascular techniques and technology. An official publication of the International Society of Endovascular Specialists (ISEVS), the Journal of Endovascular Therapy publishes peer-reviewed articles of interest to clinicians and researchers in the field of peripheral endovascular interventions.
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