Special issue on machine learning and artificial intelligence in business and economics

IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS
Ye Luo
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In academic studies, the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning in the field of economics and finance has revolutionized research methodologies and enhanced the understanding of complex economic phenomena. Researchers can now analyze vast amounts of data more efficiently, identify patterns and trends, and develop predictive models with greater accuracy. This enables academics to delve deeper into economic theories, test hypotheses, and make more informed policy recommendations. Furthermore, the use of AI and machine learning algorithms in academic studies can lead to new insights, innovative research approaches, and interdisciplinary collaborations.

The leading article of this special issue, “Finance research over 40 years: What can we learn from machine learning?”, investigated on the topic distributional features of the research in finance over the past 40 years. This is the most thorough investigation on such a large field about the research topics, authorship distributions, using the method of machine learning. The authors have conducted a study applying machine learning models to analyze a data set comprising 20,185 finance articles published across 17 finance journals from 1976 to 2015. Through this analysis, they have objectively identified 38 research topics within the field. Among these topics, the financial crisis, hedge/mutual fund, social network, and culture emerged as the fastest-growing areas, while market microstructure, initial public offering, and option pricing experienced a decline in interest from 2006 to 2015. The authors also find a very interesting exponential decay rule for the number of topics that authors are covering.

A similar paper “Topic modeling of financial accounting research over 70 years” investigated topic distributions and time series patterns in financial accounting research in the past 70 years using machine learning methods. The author finds that The topics of mergers and acquisitions, disclosure and internal control, and political connection exhibited the most rapid expansion, whereas management control systems, earnings management, and valuation experienced the greatest contraction from 2014 to 2023. This research on topic classification itself will aid accounting investigators in bypassing superfluous efforts and fostering increased interdisciplinary research.

Beyond the topic modeling, there are two papers in this special issue regarding using machine learning in asset pricing. The paper “Investigating the profit performance of quantitative timing trading strategies in the Shanghai copper futures market, 2020–2022” investigates the time series signals using machine learning methods in the Shanghai copper futures market. The authors prudently conduct a reality check and advanced assessments to avoid data snooping problem. The basic conclusion of the paper demonstrates that after eliminating the data snooping bias, the time series signal within the class of investigation in the futures market are difficult to generate consistent profits.

The paper “Factor timing in the Chinese stock market” conducts an exploratory study about the feasibility of factor timing in the Chinese stock market, covering 24 representative and well-identified risk factors in 10 categories from the literature. The long–short portfolio of short-term reversal exhibits strong out-of-sample predictability, which is robust across various models and all types of predictors. Unlike the previous paper, this paper demonstrates significant predictability of prediction power in the time series of factors portfolio in Chinese stock market.

In the end, the special issue includes two papers about using AI in economics and finance. The first one, “Palm as Decentralized Identifiers: Mitigate scrounging of platform economy,” raises a new economic model based on the KYC technology of AI Palm recognition. The technology has the potential of addressing or reducing the scrounging problem in the platform economy, leading to increased efficiency of platform promotions. The second paper “A new era of financial services: How AI enhances investment efficiency” gives a nice summary of the AI technologies that are adopted in the Eastmoney.com, the largest digital financial investment platform in China.

From the above brief introduction, we can see that the papers in this special issue have contributed to our understanding of applying machine learning and AI in economics and finance. There are many more issues the papers of this special issue have not yet reached. We hope that the findings of these papers will encourage and inspire more interesting and fruitful studies in this field among our readers.

Ye Luo: conceptualization, formal analysis, writing–original draft, writing–review and editing.

The author has nothing to report.

The author declares no conflicts of interest.

商业和经济学中的机器学习和人工智能特刊
在学术研究中,人工智能(AI)和机器学习在经济和金融领域的融合彻底改变了研究方法,增强了对复杂经济现象的理解。研究人员现在可以更有效地分析大量数据,识别模式和趋势,并更准确地开发预测模型。这使学者们能够更深入地研究经济理论,检验假设,并提出更明智的政策建议。此外,在学术研究中使用人工智能和机器学习算法可以带来新的见解、创新的研究方法和跨学科合作。本期特刊的主打文章《40年来的金融研究:我们能从机器学习中学到什么?》,对近40年来金融学研究的课题分布特征进行了考察。这是使用机器学习的方法对如此大的领域进行的关于研究主题、作者分布的最彻底的调查。作者进行了一项研究,应用机器学习模型分析了1976年至2015年在17种金融期刊上发表的20,185篇金融文章的数据集。通过这一分析,他们客观地确定了该领域内的38个研究课题。在这些主题中,金融危机、对冲/共同基金、社交网络和文化成为增长最快的领域,而市场微观结构、首次公开发行和期权定价在2006年至2015年期间出现了兴趣下降。作者还发现了一个非常有趣的指数衰减规律,即作者所涉及的主题数量。另一篇类似的论文《70年来财务会计研究的主题建模》使用机器学习方法研究了过去70年来财务会计研究的主题分布和时间序列模式。笔者发现,2014 - 2023年,并购、披露与内部控制、政治关系等主题扩张最为迅速,而管理控制制度、盈余管理、估值等主题收缩最为明显。这个主题分类本身的研究将有助于会计调查员绕过多余的努力和促进跨学科研究的增加。除了主题建模之外,本期特刊中还有两篇关于在资产定价中使用机器学习的论文。本文《2020-2022年上海铜期货市场定量择时交易策略的盈利表现研究》利用机器学习方法对上海铜期货市场的时间序列信号进行了研究。作者谨慎地进行了现实检查和高级评估,以避免数据窥探问题。本文的基本结论表明,在消除数据窥探偏差后,期货市场调查类内的时间序列信号难以产生一致的利润。本文“中国股票市场的因素择时”对中国股票市场的因素择时可行性进行了探索性研究,涵盖了文献中10大类24个具有代表性且识别良好的风险因素。短期反转的长空组合表现出很强的样本外可预测性,这种可预测性在各种模型和所有类型的预测因子中都是稳健的。与以往文献不同的是,本文证明了中国股票市场因子组合的预测能力在时间序列上具有显著的可预测性。最后,这期特刊包括两篇关于在经济和金融中使用人工智能的论文。第一篇论文《手掌作为去中心化标识符:缓解平台经济的掠夺》,提出了一种基于AI手掌识别KYC技术的新经济模型。该技术有可能解决或减少平台经济中的寻宝问题,从而提高平台推广的效率。第二篇论文《金融服务新时代:人工智能如何提高投资效率》对中国最大的数字金融投资平台东方理财网采用的人工智能技术进行了很好的总结。通过以上简短的介绍,我们可以看到本期特刊的论文有助于我们理解机器学习和人工智能在经济金融领域的应用。还有更多的问题,这期特刊的论文还没有到达。我们希望这些论文的发现将鼓励和启发读者在这一领域进行更多有趣和富有成效的研究。叶洛:构思、形式分析、写作—初稿、写作—评审、编辑。作者没有什么可报道的。作者声明无利益冲突。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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