{"title":"The law of iterated expectation and imprecise probabilities","authors":"Enrique Miranda , Arthur Van Camp","doi":"10.1016/j.fss.2024.109258","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The law of iterated expectation tells us how to combine hierarchical pieces of information when our uncertainty is modelled by means of probability measures. It has been extended to the imprecise case through Walley's marginal extension theorem for coherent lower previsions. In this paper, we investigate the extent to which a similar result can be established for other imprecise probability models that are either more general (choice functions) or more particular (possibility measures, belief functions) than coherent lower previsions. By doing this, we also establish links with other results established in the literature in the context of imprecise versions of Jeffrey's rule.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55130,"journal":{"name":"Fuzzy Sets and Systems","volume":"504 ","pages":"Article 109258"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Fuzzy Sets and Systems","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165011424004044","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, THEORY & METHODS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The law of iterated expectation tells us how to combine hierarchical pieces of information when our uncertainty is modelled by means of probability measures. It has been extended to the imprecise case through Walley's marginal extension theorem for coherent lower previsions. In this paper, we investigate the extent to which a similar result can be established for other imprecise probability models that are either more general (choice functions) or more particular (possibility measures, belief functions) than coherent lower previsions. By doing this, we also establish links with other results established in the literature in the context of imprecise versions of Jeffrey's rule.
期刊介绍:
Since its launching in 1978, the journal Fuzzy Sets and Systems has been devoted to the international advancement of the theory and application of fuzzy sets and systems. The theory of fuzzy sets now encompasses a well organized corpus of basic notions including (and not restricted to) aggregation operations, a generalized theory of relations, specific measures of information content, a calculus of fuzzy numbers. Fuzzy sets are also the cornerstone of a non-additive uncertainty theory, namely possibility theory, and of a versatile tool for both linguistic and numerical modeling: fuzzy rule-based systems. Numerous works now combine fuzzy concepts with other scientific disciplines as well as modern technologies.
In mathematics fuzzy sets have triggered new research topics in connection with category theory, topology, algebra, analysis. Fuzzy sets are also part of a recent trend in the study of generalized measures and integrals, and are combined with statistical methods. Furthermore, fuzzy sets have strong logical underpinnings in the tradition of many-valued logics.