{"title":"Global geopolitical risk and financial stability: Evidence from China","authors":"Sha Zhu , Yuqin Xia , Qiuxuan Li , Yunjia Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2024.106501","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study provides evidence that global geopolitical risk (GPR) significantly impacts financial stability. By constructing five sub-market stress indices (banking, securities, foreign exchange, housing, and commodity), we assess sub-market stress spillovers and financial stress total connectedness for China using an improved Diebold and Yilmaz method. Furthermore, we innovatively investigate the relationship between GPR and financial stress total connectedness. The findings indicate that GPR positively affects financial stress total connectedness. More notably, GPR can predict financial stress total connectedness at least leading four months. The global geopolitical threats risk and unexpected geopolitical risk are positively related with financial stress total connectedness.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":"72 ","pages":"Article 106501"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Finance Research Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612324015307","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study provides evidence that global geopolitical risk (GPR) significantly impacts financial stability. By constructing five sub-market stress indices (banking, securities, foreign exchange, housing, and commodity), we assess sub-market stress spillovers and financial stress total connectedness for China using an improved Diebold and Yilmaz method. Furthermore, we innovatively investigate the relationship between GPR and financial stress total connectedness. The findings indicate that GPR positively affects financial stress total connectedness. More notably, GPR can predict financial stress total connectedness at least leading four months. The global geopolitical threats risk and unexpected geopolitical risk are positively related with financial stress total connectedness.
期刊介绍:
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