Trade-based money laundering and domestic resource mobilization in oil-exporting Countries

Joshua Adeyemi Afolabi , Musibau Adetunji Babatunde
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Abstract

The rapid evolution of global trade offers great productivity gains to participating countries but also raises the likelihood of losing domestic resources through trade-based money laundering. This paper empirically examined whether trade-based money laundering affects domestic resource mobilization in nine selected Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) member states from which panel data spanning 2009–2018 were obtained. The panel quantile regression estimator was used to analyze the data. The empirical result showed that trade-based money laundering reduces government revenue and weakens the ability of the government to mobilize domestic resources to fulfil its fiscal responsibilities. The magnitude of impact exhibits an increasing trend as the adverse effect is more pronounced in countries with high domestic resources and less severe in countries with low domestic resources. Therefore, policymakers and governments of OPEC member states should design and ensure the effective implementation of anti-money laundering policies to tame trade-based money laundering.
石油出口国以贸易为基础的洗钱和国内资源调动
全球贸易的迅速发展为参与国提供了巨大的生产力收益,但也增加了通过以贸易为基础的洗钱而损失国内资源的可能性。本文实证研究了基于贸易的洗钱是否影响石油输出国组织(OPEC) 9个成员国的国内资源动员,并从中获得了2009-2018年的面板数据。采用面板分位数回归估计器对数据进行分析。实证结果表明,贸易洗钱减少了政府收入,削弱了政府调动国内资源履行财政责任的能力。由于不利影响在国内资源高的国家更为明显,而在国内资源低的国家则不那么严重,影响的程度呈增加趋势。因此,欧佩克成员国的政策制定者和政府应该设计并确保反洗钱政策的有效实施,以遏制基于贸易的洗钱。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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