Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Sebastian Reich , Andrea Zanoni
{"title":"Filtered data based estimators for stochastic processes driven by colored noise","authors":"Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Sebastian Reich , Andrea Zanoni","doi":"10.1016/j.spa.2024.104558","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We consider the problem of estimating unknown parameters in stochastic differential equations driven by colored noise, which we model as a sequence of Gaussian stationary processes with decreasing correlation time. We aim to infer parameters in the limit equation, driven by white noise, given observations of the colored noise dynamics. We consider both the maximum likelihood and the stochastic gradient descent in continuous time estimators, and we propose to modify them by including filtered data. We provide a convergence analysis for our estimators showing their asymptotic unbiasedness in a general setting and asymptotic normality under a simplified scenario.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51160,"journal":{"name":"Stochastic Processes and their Applications","volume":"181 ","pages":"Article 104558"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Stochastic Processes and their Applications","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304414924002667","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We consider the problem of estimating unknown parameters in stochastic differential equations driven by colored noise, which we model as a sequence of Gaussian stationary processes with decreasing correlation time. We aim to infer parameters in the limit equation, driven by white noise, given observations of the colored noise dynamics. We consider both the maximum likelihood and the stochastic gradient descent in continuous time estimators, and we propose to modify them by including filtered data. We provide a convergence analysis for our estimators showing their asymptotic unbiasedness in a general setting and asymptotic normality under a simplified scenario.
期刊介绍:
Stochastic Processes and their Applications publishes papers on the theory and applications of stochastic processes. It is concerned with concepts and techniques, and is oriented towards a broad spectrum of mathematical, scientific and engineering interests.
Characterization, structural properties, inference and control of stochastic processes are covered. The journal is exacting and scholarly in its standards. Every effort is made to promote innovation, vitality, and communication between disciplines. All papers are refereed.