Research Advances on Lithium-Ion Batteries Calendar Life Prognostic Models

Tao Pan, Yujie Li, Ziqing Yao, Shuangke Liu, Yuhao Zhu, Xuanjun Wang, Jian Wang, Chunman Zheng, Weiwei Sun
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Abstract

In military reserve power supplies, there is an urgent need for superior secondary batteries to replace conventional primary batteries, and lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) emerge as one of the best choices due to their exceptional performance. The life of LIBs includes cycle life and calendar life, with calendar life spanning from years to decades. Accurate prediction of calendar life is crucial for optimizing the deployment and maintenance of LIBs in military applications. Model-based prognostics are usually established to estimate calendar life using accelerated aging methods under various storage conditions. This review firstly outlines the general prognostic workflow for calendar life of LIBs, analyzes degradation mechanisms, and summarizes influencing factors; then, we introduce calendar life prognostic models, evolving from simplistic empirical models (EMs) to nonempirical mechanistic models (MMs) based on LIB calendar aging knowledge and then to traditional hybrid empirical-mechanistic models (trad-EMMs). Finally, the data-driven models (DDMs) based on machine learning (ML) are discussed due to the limitation of the traditional methods, evolving from pure data-driven to knowledge-integrated models and establishing a comprehensive framework for calendar life assessment. To the best of our knowledge, this paper presents the first comprehensive review in this field, summarizing calendar life prognostic models of LIBs and offering some insights into future model development directions. Model-based prognostics can facilitate researchers in calendar aging analysis and calendar life prolongation, thereby better serving the application of LIBs in national economic life.

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锂离子电池日历寿命预测模型的研究进展
在军用备用电源中,迫切需要高性能二次电池来取代传统的一次电池,而锂离子电池(LIBs)因其优异的性能而成为最佳选择之一。lib的寿命包括循环寿命和日历寿命,日历寿命从几年到几十年不等。准确预测日历寿命对于优化lib在军事应用中的部署和维护至关重要。基于模型的预测通常是在各种储存条件下使用加速老化方法来估计日历寿命。本文首先概述了lib日历寿命的一般预测流程,分析了降解机制,总结了影响因素;然后,引入日历寿命预测模型,从简单的经验模型(EMs)到基于LIB日历老化知识的非经验机制模型(mm),再到传统的经验-机制混合模型(trade - emms)。最后,针对传统方法的局限性,讨论了基于机器学习的数据驱动模型(DDMs),从纯数据驱动模型向知识集成模型发展,并建立了日历寿命评估的综合框架。本文是该领域的第一个全面综述,总结了lib的日历寿命预测模型,并对未来模型的发展方向提出了一些见解。基于模型的预测可以方便研究人员进行日历老化分析和日历寿命延长,从而更好地服务于lib在国民经济生活中的应用。
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