Accuracy of Methods for Estimating the Age of Pairs of Trans-Neptunian Objects in Close Orbits

IF 0.6 4区 物理与天体物理 Q4 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS
V. D. Gusev, E. D. Kuznetsov
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Abstract

Methods for estimating the age of pairs of trans-Neptunian objects were studied: analysis of convergence of lines of nodes and lines of apsides, and analysis of minima of the Kholshevnikov metric. A simulation of the probabilistic evolution of model pairs of trans-Neptunian objects aged 1 Myr and 10 Myr was performed. The errors in determining the age of pairs were obtained with different accuracy of orbit determination. About 10% of trans-Neptunian objects have orbital accuracy sufficient to estimate the age of pairs at intervals of 2 and 15 Myr. The error in age determination can reach 0.7 Myr in the 2-Myr interval and 4.5 Myr in the 15‑Myr interval. For about 50% of trans-Neptunian objects whose orbits are determined with typical accuracy, with a pair age of 10 Myr, the age estimate error can be comparable to the determined value. Applying the methods to the remaining fraction of trans-Neptunian objects whose orbits are determined with low accuracy may yield unreliable results, and the error may exceed the determined value.

Abstract Image

估算近轨海王星外天体对年龄方法的准确性
研究了跨海王星天体对年龄的估计方法:节点线和柱面线的收敛性分析和科尔舍夫尼科夫度规的极小值分析。对年龄为1myr和10myr的跨海王星天体模型对的概率演化进行了模拟。在不同的定轨精度下,得到了对星年龄的误差。大约10%的海王星外天体的轨道精度足以在2至15兆尔的间隔内估计成对的年龄。年龄测定误差在2-Myr区间可达0.7 Myr,在15 -Myr区间可达4.5 Myr。对于轨道以典型精度确定的约50%的海王星外天体,其对年龄为10 Myr,年龄估计误差可与确定值相当。将这些方法应用于轨道精度较低的海王星外天体的剩余部分,可能会产生不可靠的结果,并且误差可能超过确定的值。
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来源期刊
Solar System Research
Solar System Research 地学天文-天文与天体物理
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
33.30%
发文量
32
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Solar System Research publishes articles concerning the bodies of the Solar System, i.e., planets and their satellites, asteroids, comets, meteoric substances, and cosmic dust. The articles consider physics, dynamics and composition of these bodies, and techniques of their exploration. The journal addresses the problems of comparative planetology, physics of the planetary atmospheres and interiors, cosmochemistry, as well as planetary plasma environment and heliosphere, specifically those related to solar-planetary interactions. Attention is paid to studies of exoplanets and complex problems of the origin and evolution of planetary systems including the solar system, based on the results of astronomical observations, laboratory studies of meteorites, relevant theoretical approaches and mathematical modeling. Alongside with the original results of experimental and theoretical studies, the journal publishes scientific reviews in the field of planetary exploration, and notes on observational results.
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