{"title":"Detecting, characterizing, and predicting arbitrage opportunities in international rights issues","authors":"Manuel Verdú Henares , Óscar Carchano Alcina , Jesús Ruiz Andújar","doi":"10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102719","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Capital increases through the issuance of subscription rights are a financing tool employed by many companies as an alternative to debt issuance. In a process with numerous implications for both the company itself and the financial markets, market anomalies, such as arbitrage opportunities, may arise. To examine whether this issue occurs, a sample of 2583 capital increases carried out by companies located in 27 different countries was collected, and a strategy aimed at exploiting potential discrepancies between the prices of newly issued shares and existing ones was applied. The returns obtained will be subjected to various statistical and econometric tests to explain which factors may play a significant role in their formation. The results confirm the presence of these market anomalies and indicate that a higher proportion of new shares relative to existing ones increases the likelihood of these anomalies, whereas their occurrence appears to be weaker or absent when the company is listed on a stock index. These and other minor or control factors (the objective of the process or the economic sector of the firm) enable a high success rate in predicting when such anomalies are likely to form. These findings provide relevant information to all economic agents involved on how to mitigate these market anomalies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51430,"journal":{"name":"Research in International Business and Finance","volume":"74 ","pages":"Article 102719"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Research in International Business and Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0275531924005129","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Capital increases through the issuance of subscription rights are a financing tool employed by many companies as an alternative to debt issuance. In a process with numerous implications for both the company itself and the financial markets, market anomalies, such as arbitrage opportunities, may arise. To examine whether this issue occurs, a sample of 2583 capital increases carried out by companies located in 27 different countries was collected, and a strategy aimed at exploiting potential discrepancies between the prices of newly issued shares and existing ones was applied. The returns obtained will be subjected to various statistical and econometric tests to explain which factors may play a significant role in their formation. The results confirm the presence of these market anomalies and indicate that a higher proportion of new shares relative to existing ones increases the likelihood of these anomalies, whereas their occurrence appears to be weaker or absent when the company is listed on a stock index. These and other minor or control factors (the objective of the process or the economic sector of the firm) enable a high success rate in predicting when such anomalies are likely to form. These findings provide relevant information to all economic agents involved on how to mitigate these market anomalies.
期刊介绍:
Research in International Business and Finance (RIBAF) seeks to consolidate its position as a premier scholarly vehicle of academic finance. The Journal publishes high quality, insightful, well-written papers that explore current and new issues in international finance. Papers that foster dialogue, innovation, and intellectual risk-taking in financial studies; as well as shed light on the interaction between finance and broader societal concerns are particularly appreciated. The Journal welcomes submissions that seek to expand the boundaries of academic finance and otherwise challenge the discipline. Papers studying finance using a variety of methodologies; as well as interdisciplinary studies will be considered for publication. Papers that examine topical issues using extensive international data sets are welcome. Single-country studies can also be considered for publication provided that they develop novel methodological and theoretical approaches or fall within the Journal''s priority themes. It is especially important that single-country studies communicate to the reader why the particular chosen country is especially relevant to the issue being investigated. [...] The scope of topics that are most interesting to RIBAF readers include the following: -Financial markets and institutions -Financial practices and sustainability -The impact of national culture on finance -The impact of formal and informal institutions on finance -Privatizations, public financing, and nonprofit issues in finance -Interdisciplinary financial studies -Finance and international development -International financial crises and regulation -Financialization studies -International financial integration and architecture -Behavioral aspects in finance -Consumer finance -Methodologies and conceptualization issues related to finance