Effect of delayed sea ice retreat on zooplankton communities in the Pacific Arctic Ocean: a generalized dissimilarity modeling approach

IF 2.8 2区生物学 Q1 MARINE & FRESHWATER BIOLOGY

Frontiers in Marine Science Pub Date : 2025-01-29 DOI:10.3389/fmars.2025.1484609

Yuya Hibino, Kohei Matsuno, Amane Fujiwara, Yoshiyuki Abe, Nanami Hosoda, Motoyo Itoh, Atsushi Yamaguchi

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Abstract

IntroductionSea ice extent increased in the Pacific Arctic Ocean during 2021 owing to the reversal of the Beaufort Gyre, unlike in previous years. The increased sea ice concentration may restore the marine ecosystem to its previous state; nevertheless, the precise conditions and mechanisms involved remain unclear.MethodsIn this study, the 2008–2017 period was defined as “the sea ice retreat year,” and its zooplankton community distribution representative was estimated using generalized dissimilarity modeling (GDM). Subsequently, we assessed the effect of delayed sea ice melt on the zooplankton community by comparing the zooplankton community of the sea ice retreat year with that in 2021.ResultsIn GDM, numerous satellite parameters significantly affected the zooplankton distribution, with the highest effect during the open-water period and annual primary production (APP) and the lowest in water temperature. The effect of APP and temperature on zooplankton similarity was high around the Bering Strait owing to the advection of Pacific copepods (Eucalanus bungii, Metridia pacifica, and Neocalanus spp.) and synchronized inflow of warm Pacific water. Under significant warming scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway [SSP]1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5), GDM-based multiple effects predicted that the zooplankton communities in high latitudes will be more affected than those on the southern shelf (northern Bering Sea to southern Chukchi Sea). In 2021, the total abundance across the northern Bering Sea to the Chukchi Sea shelf region was lower than that of the community during the sea ice retreat year. However, certain species (Limacina helicina and Pacific copepods) increased locally (northern Bering Sea and Barrow Canyon) because of the increasing volume of Pacific origin water.DiscussionContrary to the reported increase trend on zooplankton, low primary productivity and phenological mismatch for zooplankton may prevail in the Pacific Arctic Ocean, resulting in a low abundance during autumn 2021.

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来源期刊

Frontiers in Marine Science Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Aquatic Science

CiteScore

5.10

自引率

16.20%

发文量

2443

审稿时长

14 weeks

期刊介绍： Frontiers in Marine Science publishes rigorously peer-reviewed research that advances our understanding of all aspects of the environment, biology, ecosystem functioning and human interactions with the oceans. Field Chief Editor Carlos M. Duarte at King Abdullah University of Science and Technology Thuwal is supported by an outstanding Editorial Board of international researchers. This multidisciplinary open-access journal is at the forefront of disseminating and communicating scientific knowledge and impactful discoveries to researchers, academics, policy makers and the public worldwide. With the human population predicted to reach 9 billion people by 2050, it is clear that traditional land resources will not suffice to meet the demand for food or energy, required to support high-quality livelihoods. As a result, the oceans are emerging as a source of untapped assets, with new innovative industries, such as aquaculture, marine biotechnology, marine energy and deep-sea mining growing rapidly under a new era characterized by rapid growth of a blue, ocean-based economy. The sustainability of the blue economy is closely dependent on our knowledge about how to mitigate the impacts of the multiple pressures on the ocean ecosystem associated with the increased scale and diversification of industry operations in the ocean and global human pressures on the environment. Therefore, Frontiers in Marine Science particularly welcomes the communication of research outcomes addressing ocean-based solutions for the emerging challenges, including improved forecasting and observational capacities, understanding biodiversity and ecosystem problems, locally and globally, effective management strategies to maintain ocean health, and an improved capacity to sustainably derive resources from the oceans.