Shidi Miao , Qifan Xuan , Wenjuan Huang , Yuyang Jiang , Mengzhuo Sun , Hongzhuo Qi , Ao Li , Zengyao Liu , Jing Li , Xuemei Ding , Ruitao Wang
{"title":"Multi-region nomogram for predicting central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma using multimodal imaging: A multicenter study","authors":"Shidi Miao , Qifan Xuan , Wenjuan Huang , Yuyang Jiang , Mengzhuo Sun , Hongzhuo Qi , Ao Li , Zengyao Liu , Jing Li , Xuemei Ding , Ruitao Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.cmpb.2025.108608","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background and objective</h3><div>Central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) is associated with high recurrence rate and low survival in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). However, there is no satisfactory model to predict CLNM in PTC. This study aimed to integrate PTC deep learning feature based on ultrasound (US) images, fat radiomics features based on computed tomography (CT) images and clinical characteristics to construct a multimodal and multi-region nomogram (MMRN) for predicting the CLNM in PTC.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We enrolled 661 patients diagnosed with PTC by thyroidectomy from two independent centers. Patients were divided into the primary cohort, internal test cohort (ITC), and external test cohort (ETC), and collected their US images and CT images. Resnet50 was employed to predict the CLNM status of PTC based on US images. Using radiomics feature extraction methods to extract fat radiomics features from CT images. Feature selection was conducted using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. The predictive performance of the MMRN was evaluated using five-fold cross-validation. We comprehensively evaluated the DLRCN and compared it with five radiologists.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>In the ITC and ETC, the area under the curves (AUCs) of MMRN were 0.829 (95 % CI: 0.822, 0.835) and 0.818 (95 % CI: 0.808, 0.828). The calibration curve revealed good predictive accuracy between the actual probability and predicted probability (<em>P</em> > 0.05). Decision curve analysis showed that the MMRN was clinically useful. Under equal specificity or sensitivity, the performance of MMRN increased by 6.5 % or 2.9 % compared to radiologist assessments. The incorporation of fat radiomics features led to significant net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) (NRI=0.174, <em>P</em> < 0.05, IDI=0.035, <em>P</em> < 0.05).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>The MMRN demonstrated good performance in predicting the CLNM status of PTC, which was comparable to radiologist assessments. The fat radiomics features exhibited supplementary value for predicting CLNM in PTC.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":10624,"journal":{"name":"Computer methods and programs in biomedicine","volume":"261 ","pages":"Article 108608"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Computer methods and programs in biomedicine","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169260725000252","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background and objective
Central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) is associated with high recurrence rate and low survival in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). However, there is no satisfactory model to predict CLNM in PTC. This study aimed to integrate PTC deep learning feature based on ultrasound (US) images, fat radiomics features based on computed tomography (CT) images and clinical characteristics to construct a multimodal and multi-region nomogram (MMRN) for predicting the CLNM in PTC.
Methods
We enrolled 661 patients diagnosed with PTC by thyroidectomy from two independent centers. Patients were divided into the primary cohort, internal test cohort (ITC), and external test cohort (ETC), and collected their US images and CT images. Resnet50 was employed to predict the CLNM status of PTC based on US images. Using radiomics feature extraction methods to extract fat radiomics features from CT images. Feature selection was conducted using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. The predictive performance of the MMRN was evaluated using five-fold cross-validation. We comprehensively evaluated the DLRCN and compared it with five radiologists.
Results
In the ITC and ETC, the area under the curves (AUCs) of MMRN were 0.829 (95 % CI: 0.822, 0.835) and 0.818 (95 % CI: 0.808, 0.828). The calibration curve revealed good predictive accuracy between the actual probability and predicted probability (P > 0.05). Decision curve analysis showed that the MMRN was clinically useful. Under equal specificity or sensitivity, the performance of MMRN increased by 6.5 % or 2.9 % compared to radiologist assessments. The incorporation of fat radiomics features led to significant net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) (NRI=0.174, P < 0.05, IDI=0.035, P < 0.05).
Conclusion
The MMRN demonstrated good performance in predicting the CLNM status of PTC, which was comparable to radiologist assessments. The fat radiomics features exhibited supplementary value for predicting CLNM in PTC.
期刊介绍:
To encourage the development of formal computing methods, and their application in biomedical research and medical practice, by illustration of fundamental principles in biomedical informatics research; to stimulate basic research into application software design; to report the state of research of biomedical information processing projects; to report new computer methodologies applied in biomedical areas; the eventual distribution of demonstrable software to avoid duplication of effort; to provide a forum for discussion and improvement of existing software; to optimize contact between national organizations and regional user groups by promoting an international exchange of information on formal methods, standards and software in biomedicine.
Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine covers computing methodology and software systems derived from computing science for implementation in all aspects of biomedical research and medical practice. It is designed to serve: biochemists; biologists; geneticists; immunologists; neuroscientists; pharmacologists; toxicologists; clinicians; epidemiologists; psychiatrists; psychologists; cardiologists; chemists; (radio)physicists; computer scientists; programmers and systems analysts; biomedical, clinical, electrical and other engineers; teachers of medical informatics and users of educational software.