[Predictive value of plasma heparin-binding protein combined with albumin for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis].

Abstract

Objective: To evaluate the predictive value of plasma heparin-binding protein (HBP) combined with albumin (Alb) for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis.

Methods: The clinical data of patients with sepsis admitted to the emergency intensive care unit (EICU) of the People's Hospital of Shenzhen Baoan District from March 2020 to March 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. The study began at the time of the first diagnosis of sepsis upon EICU admission and ended upon patient death or at 28 days. The gender, age, length of stay in EICU, underlying diseases, and infection sites were recorded. Within 24 hours of sepsis diagnosis, blood culture results, white blood cell count (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), blood lactate acid (Lac), HBP, Alb, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), mortality in emergency department sepsis score (MEDS), modified early warning score (MEWS), number of organ failures, use of vasopressors, application of mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, and 28-day prognosis were recorded, the differences in these indicators between two groups were compared. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors of 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the early predictive value of various risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis.

Results: A total of 300 patients with sepsis were included, with 16 excluded, resulting in 284 patients being analyzed. Among them, 191 survived and 93 died within 28 days. There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in terms of gender, age, underlying diseases, infection sites, blood culture positivity rate, number of organ failures, and length of stay in EICU. Univariate analysis showed that the rate of vasopressor use, the rate of mechanical ventilation, HBP, PCT, CRP, Lac, SOFA score, APACHE II score, MEDS score, and MEWS score were significantly higher in the death group than those in the survival group, while Alb was significantly lower in the death group than that in the survival group. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that HBP and Alb were independent risk factors for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis [odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were 1.093 (0.989-1.128) and 1.174 (1.095-1.259), both P < 0.05]. ROC curve analysis showed that both HBP and Alb had certain predictive value for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis [AUC and 95%CI were 0.820 (0.717-0.923) and 0.786 (0.682-0.890), both P < 0.05]. When the critical value of HBP was 117.50 μg/L, the sensitivity was 85.90%, and the specificity was 70.50%. When the critical value of Alb was 28.30 g/L, the sensitivity was 69.30%, and the specificity was 81.20%. When the two indexes were combined for diagnosis, the AUC was 0.881 (95%CI was 0.817-0.945, P < 0.001), the sensitivity was 92.70%, and the specificity was 76.80%.

Conclusions: HBP and Alb are independent risk factors for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis. The combined prediction efficiency of HBP and Alb for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis is superior to a single indicator.