Unlocking credit access: Using non-CDR mobile data to enhance credit scoring for financial inclusion

IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Rouzbeh Razavi, Nasr G. Elbahnasawy
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Abstract

A significant portion of the global adult population, particularly in developing markets, lacks access to formal credit due to the absence of traditional credit histories. This presents a major challenge for financial institutions, FinTech companies, and policymakers aiming to promote financial inclusion. While conventional credit scoring models are built on established financial data, the growing penetration of mobile phones offers an alternative means to assess credit risk. Unlike prior research focused on Call Detail Records (CDRs)—data generated by telecommunication providers capturing users' call and message activities, such as duration, frequency, and timing—this study investigates the predictive power of a broader spectrum of mobile usage data, including non-CDR attributes like social media engagement and web browsing habits, in assessing credit risk. Using a broad range of machine learning algorithms on actual mobile usage data from over 1,500 demographically diverse individuals over a two-week period, we find that while these mobile usage attributes alone cannot fully replace FICO scores in regression models (R²=0.30), they significantly enhance the accuracy of classification models, especially when combined with CDR data (Accuracy=0.89). These findings have important implications for credit markets in emerging economies, pathways for financial institutions and FinTech companies to engage with unbanked populations and support the growth of alternative credit assessment tools.
解锁信贷渠道:使用非cdr移动数据提高普惠金融的信用评分
全球成年人口的很大一部分,特别是在发展中市场,由于缺乏传统的信贷历史而无法获得正式信贷。这对旨在促进普惠金融的金融机构、金融科技公司和政策制定者提出了重大挑战。虽然传统的信用评分模型是建立在既定的金融数据之上的,但手机的日益普及为评估信用风险提供了另一种手段。与之前的研究不同,该研究侧重于呼叫详细记录(cdr)——由电信提供商生成的记录用户呼叫和短信活动的数据,如持续时间、频率和时间——本研究调查了更广泛的移动使用数据的预测能力,包括非cdr属性,如社交媒体参与度和网页浏览习惯,以评估信用风险。在两周的时间里,我们对1500多名人口统计学上不同的个人的实际移动使用数据使用了广泛的机器学习算法,我们发现,虽然这些移动使用属性本身不能完全取代回归模型中的FICO分数(R²=0.30),但它们显著提高了分类模型的准确性,特别是当与CDR数据结合使用时(准确性=0.89)。这些发现对新兴经济体的信贷市场、金融机构和金融科技公司与无银行账户人群接触的途径以及支持替代信贷评估工具的发展具有重要意义。
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来源期刊
Finance Research Letters
Finance Research Letters BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
14.40%
发文量
863
期刊介绍: Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies. Papers are invited in the following areas: Actuarial studies Alternative investments Asset Pricing Bankruptcy and liquidation Banks and other Depository Institutions Behavioral and experimental finance Bibliometric and Scientometric studies of finance Capital budgeting and corporate investment Capital markets and accounting Capital structure and payout policy Commodities Contagion, crises and interdependence Corporate governance Credit and fixed income markets and instruments Derivatives Emerging markets Energy Finance and Energy Markets Financial Econometrics Financial History Financial intermediation and money markets Financial markets and marketplaces Financial Mathematics and Econophysics Financial Regulation and Law Forecasting Frontier market studies International Finance Market efficiency, event studies Mergers, acquisitions and the market for corporate control Micro Finance Institutions Microstructure Non-bank Financial Institutions Personal Finance Portfolio choice and investing Real estate finance and investing Risk SME, Family and Entrepreneurial Finance
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