Global burden of cancer pattern in 2020 & prediction to 2040 among older adults.

IF 2.7 4区 医学 Q3 IMMUNOLOGY
Manoj Kalita, Devaraja M, Indranil Saha, Amit Chakrabarti
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Abstract

Background & objectives Cancer is one of the leading causes of death among older adults worldwide. The global burden of cancer among older individuals is increasing due to the ageing population. The increasing burden of cancer among older adults will pose significant social and economic challenges for the delivery of healthcare services. Materials Estimated cancer new cases, deaths, age-standardized truncated incidence and mortality rate per 100,000 for older adults (60 yr or above) were reported using GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates (gco.iarc.fr). Mortality to Incidence ratio (M/I ratio) expressed in percentage by gender and continent was provided. Results Globally, of all cancer cases, 11.3 million cases (representing 62.3%) and 7.5 million deaths (representing 71.2%) were seen among older adults. The top five leading sites of cancer account for 62.2 per cent of older men and 55.9 per cent of older women; however, a widespread geographical variation across world regions is observed. The number of new cancer cases among older adults is expected to rise from 11.3 to 19.8 million (a 75.2% increase) and deaths from 3.99 to 7.3 million (82.8% increase) by 2040. Interpretation & conclusions The expected rise will bring exceptional challenges to healthcare systems, especially in lower- or lower-medium-income countries where resources are limited. Data on cancer among older adults will help health planners and policymakers develop global geriatric cancer control policies.

2020年全球老年人癌症负担模式及2040年预测
背景与目的癌症是全世界老年人死亡的主要原因之一。由于人口老龄化,老年人的全球癌症负担正在增加。老年人癌症负担的增加将对提供保健服务构成重大的社会和经济挑战。使用GLOBOCAN 2020估计值(gco.iarc.fr)报告了老年人(60岁或以上)的癌症新发病例、死亡、年龄标准化截断发病率和死亡率(每10万人)。死亡率与发病率比率(M/I比率)按性别和大洲的百分比表示。在全球范围内,在所有癌症病例中,老年人中有1130万例(占62.3%)和750万例死亡(占71.2%)。老年男性的62.2%和老年女性的55.9%罹患癌症的前五大部位;然而,在世界各区域之间观察到广泛的地理差异。预计到2040年,老年人的新癌症病例数将从1130万增加到1980万(增加75.2%),死亡人数将从399万增加到730万(增加82.8%)。预期的上升将给卫生保健系统带来特殊的挑战,特别是在资源有限的低收入或中低收入国家。关于老年人癌症的数据将有助于卫生规划人员和决策者制定全球老年癌症控制政策。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
2.40%
发文量
191
审稿时长
3-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The Indian Journal of Medical Research (IJMR) [ISSN 0971-5916] is one of the oldest medical Journals not only in India, but probably in Asia, as it started in the year 1913. The Journal was started as a quarterly (4 issues/year) in 1913 and made bimonthly (6 issues/year) in 1958. It became monthly (12 issues/year) in the year 1964.
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