Yiqin Wang MD, Qiong Wen MD, Yuewen Lu BD, Jiayi Yang PhD, Naya Huang MD, Wei Chen MD
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Aims
The ACCORD trial showed that intensive glucose-lowering therapy has a limited impact on renal function decline. We aimed to identify subgroups in the ACCORD population that might derive renal benefits from intensive glucose-lowering therapy.
Materials and Methods
The primary renal outcome included a ≥50% decline in baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate or end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Using the causal tree model, we employed internal cross-validation to identify five pivotal variables influencing the renal efficacy of intensive glycaemic control. These variables were integrated into the model-based recursive partitioning approach, yielding a visualizable tree model that depicted benefitting subgroups.
Results
Node 4, characterized by no cardiovascular history, systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≤142.67 mm Hg, and triglycerides ≤172 mg/dL, showed significantly reduced hazards of the composite renal outcome (fully adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.49–0.89; p = 0.006) and doubling of serum creatinine (fully adjusted HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.36–0.98; p = 0.041). Node 7 (no cardiovascular history and SBP 142.67–154 mm Hg) showed reduced hazards of the primary renal outcome (fully adjusted HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.49–0.93; p = 0.016) and ESRD (fully adjusted HR 0.35, 95% CI 0.17–0.74; p = 0.0057). Encouragingly, neither node 4 nor node 7 displayed elevated cardiovascular risk or hypoglycaemic events.
Conclusions
Through innovative machine learning, we identified ACCORD subgroups benefitting significantly from intensive glycaemic therapy for renal outcomes, without increased cardiovascular or hypoglycaemic risks.
期刊介绍:
Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism is primarily a journal of clinical and experimental pharmacology and therapeutics covering the interrelated areas of diabetes, obesity and metabolism. The journal prioritises high-quality original research that reports on the effects of new or existing therapies, including dietary, exercise and lifestyle (non-pharmacological) interventions, in any aspect of metabolic and endocrine disease, either in humans or animal and cellular systems. ‘Metabolism’ may relate to lipids, bone and drug metabolism, or broader aspects of endocrine dysfunction. Preclinical pharmacology, pharmacokinetic studies, meta-analyses and those addressing drug safety and tolerability are also highly suitable for publication in this journal. Original research may be published as a main paper or as a research letter.