Understanding the exodus: a 15-year retrospective cohort study on the pattern and determinants of migration among Nigerian doctors and dentists.

IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Global Health Action Pub Date : 2024-12-31 Epub Date: 2024-11-29 DOI:10.1080/16549716.2024.2432754
Oghenebrume Wariri, Patience Toyin-Thomas, Itua C G Akhirevbulu, Oladapo Oladeinde, Oluchi Omogbai, Philippa Odika, John Osakue, Avwebo Ukueku, Efetobo Orikpete, Chinelo Iwegim, Efe E Omoyibo, Jermaine Okpere, Uwaila Otakhoigbogie, Ekhosuehi T Agho, Sunday C Madubueze, Nnennaya C Ugoji, Chukwunwike W Ozegbe, Oti N Aria, Paul Ikhurionan
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: Nigeria faces a critical shortage of healthcare professionals yet experiences a significant annual exodus of doctors and dentists. This alarming trend threatens the country's ability to provide equitable healthcare.

Objective: This study investigated the patterns and determinants of migration among doctors and dentists who graduated from the University of Benin, Nigeria, 15 years ago.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study that tracked 274 of the 379 (72.3%) eligible cohort. We computed the migration incidence rate per person-year from 2008 to 2023, covering 3,455 person-years of follow-up and analysed migration drivers as push and pull factors across macro-, meso-, and micro-levels.

Results: Fifteen years post-graduation, 48.9% (134/274) of the cohort had migrated. While the annual incidence rate of migration remained stable for the first 8 years, it spiked after 2016, reaching 11.4 per 100 person-years in 2023. Among those who migrated, the majority (96.3%, 129/134) relocated outside the African continent. The top three destination countries were the UK (48.5%, 65/134), Canada (20.9%, 28/134), and the USA (19.4%, 26/134). The leading push factors were insecurity of lives and property (57.8%), concerns about children's futures (50.3%), and limited career development opportunities (45.9%). The primary pull factors included security (56.3%), permanent residency (49.6%), and better pay in the destination country (46.7%). Significant predictors of migration included younger age, timing of marriage, and residency training status.

Conclusions: To avert an impending crisis, the Nigerian government must address the root causes driving the increasing migration of doctors and dentists.

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来源期刊
Global Health Action
Global Health Action PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
3.80%
发文量
108
审稿时长
16 weeks
期刊介绍: Global Health Action is an international peer-reviewed Open Access journal affiliated with the Unit of Epidemiology and Global Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine at Umeå University, Sweden. The Unit hosts the Umeå International School of Public Health and the Umeå Centre for Global Health Research. Vision: Our vision is to be a leading journal in the global health field, narrowing health information gaps and contributing to the implementation of policies and actions that lead to improved global health. Aim: The widening gap between the winners and losers of globalisation presents major public health challenges. To meet these challenges, it is crucial to generate new knowledge and evidence in the field and in settings where the evidence is lacking, as well as to bridge the gaps between existing knowledge and implementation of relevant findings. Thus, the aim of Global Health Action is to contribute to fuelling a more concrete, hands-on approach to addressing global health challenges. Manuscripts suggesting strategies for practical interventions and research implementations where none already exist are specifically welcomed. Further, the journal encourages articles from low- and middle-income countries, while also welcoming articles originated from South-South and South-North collaborations. All articles are expected to address a global agenda and include a strong implementation or policy component.
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