Elevated serum interferon-α2 associates with activity and flare risk in Juvenile-onset Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Abstract

Objectives This study investigated serum IFN-α2 as a putative marker of disease activity and predictor of disease flares in juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus (jSLE). Methods 222 serum samples were analysed, including 28 healthy controls (HCs), 88 JSLE (159 samples), and 35 juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) patients. IFN-α2 levels were determined using Single-molecule array (Simoa). Cross-sectionally, median IFN-α2 levels were compared between patient groups and disease activity state sub-groups. Time to flare was analysed by linear regression. Longitudinally, the ability of the IFN-α2 and other traditional biomarkers (erythrocyte sedimentation rate/ESR, low C3 and anti-dsDNA antibodies) to detect and predict flares was assessed via a generalised linear mixed model. Results Cross-sectional analysis showed higher median IFN-α2 levels in the active/intermediate group (median 3,185 fg/mL, IQR 48-13,703) compared to the LDAS (571 fg/mL, IQR 57-1,310 fg/mL, p = 0.04) and remission sub-groups (271 fg/mL, IQR 3-56, p < 0.001). IFN-α2 was higher in all JSLE patients (median 587 fg/mL, IQR 11-2,774) as compared to JIA patients (median 7 fg/mL, IQR 3-236, p = 0.0017) and HCs (p = 0.017). JSLE patients in remission or LDAS with abnormal IFN-α2 levels had a shorter time to flare over the subsequent six months compared to those with normal IFN-α2 levels (p = 0.022). Longitudinally, multivariable analysis demonstrated high IFN-α2 to be the only predictor of an ongoing flare (p = 0.028). Conclusion Serum IFN-α2 levels associate with disease activity and can predict ongoing and future flares in jSLE. These findings suggest that quantification of IFN-α2 may support risk stratification and disease monitoring in these patients.