How natural disasters and environmental fears shape American climate attitudes across political orientation

Christopher R. H. Garneau, Heather Bedle, Rory Stanfield
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Abstract

Climate change remains a polarizing issue in the United States, with conservatives expressing greater skepticism regarding its risks. We investigate how fear shapes climate attitudes across political orientations. Utilizing data from a 2023 online survey, results support hypotheses that conservatives demonstrate lower climate concern and that fear of natural and environmental disasters increases climate concern. Interaction results show that fear of anthropogenic environmental disasters elicits greater climate concern amongst conservatives. At high levels of ecological fear, the political divisions diminish as all orientations converge on higher levels of acknowledging climate risks and causes. Practically, this relationship highlights messaging opportunities by focusing on relevant environmental threats that aid in influencing conservatives to build collective support across political divides. Theoretically, these findings challenge expectations of dominant paradigms related to threat perception and political orientation, contributing to the ongoing development of new models that more thoroughly represent the relationship between these multifaceted constructs.

Abstract Image

自然灾害和环境恐惧如何影响不同政治倾向的美国人对气候的态度
气候变化在美国仍然是一个两极分化的问题,保守派对其风险表示出更大的怀疑。我们研究了恐惧如何影响不同政治取向的人对气候的态度。利用 2023 年在线调查的数据,结果支持以下假设:保守派对气候的关注度较低,而对自然和环境灾害的恐惧会增加对气候的关注度。交互结果表明,对人为环境灾害的恐惧会在保守派中引起更大的气候担忧。在生态恐惧程度较高的情况下,政治分歧会减小,因为所有取向的人都会更多地承认气候风险和原因。在实践中,这种关系通过关注相关的环境威胁,突出了信息传递的机会,有助于影响保守派,从而跨越政治分歧建立集体支持。从理论上讲,这些发现挑战了与威胁感知和政治取向相关的主流范式的预期,有助于不断开发新的模型,以更全面地反映这些多层面建构之间的关系。
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