Public spending on Energy innovations and CO2 impacts: Evidence from selected OECD countries

Sayyed Mahdi Ziaei
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Abstract

The relationship between public spending on Energy innovations (R&D of renewable and non-renewable energy, and energy efficiency) and CO2 intensity at constant purchasing power are investigated in this study. A Panel-NARDL model was used for the first time in 10 OECD countries (1990–2020) to evaluate the asymmetric relationship between energy innovative variables and CO2 impacts in the long and short run. In other words, this study aims to monitor how changes in public spending on R&D for renewable and non-renewable influence CO2 emissions. The results show that while an increase in the public budget for R&D of renewable energy will decrease the CO2 intensity in the long run, a positive relationship exists between these variables in the short run. Likewise, the result demonstrates that a cut in public spending on Fossil fuel R&D leads to an increase in the short horizon and a decrease in the long-run CO2 emissions per unit of GDP. The finding implies the substantial impact of R&D in both renewable and non-renewable energy on reducing CO2 emissions over time. In addition, CO2 emissions per unit of GDP respond positively to R&D public spending on energy efficiency. An increase in public expenditure on R&D of energy efficiency can induce economic activity and enhance CO2 emissions. All in all, the 30 years’ analysis of data from the selected OECD countries substantiates the right strategy of reducing the CO2 emissions of these countries by applying the public budget to promote R&D in energy sectors. This study results in contrast with those studies that found no relationship between R&D on renewable energy and CO2 impacts. Significance Statement This paper evaluated the asymmetric impacts of public spending on R&D of renewable energy and fossil fuel, and energy efficiency on CO2 intensity at constant purchasing power. Although a growing body of research has analyzed the impact of R&D on CO2 emission, research on the asymmetric effects of R&D public expenditure in energy sectors on CO2 emission is still narrow. Moreover, by employing Panel Nonlinear ARDL, we delve into the spillover impacts of selected OECD public budget on R&D over the short and long horizons. In addition, we estimate the impacts of both Renewable and non-renewable R&D budgets which help us to explore and compare the effectiveness of budget allocation on R&D with the strategy of reducing CO2 emission. Finally, this study found how the R&D and technology budget surging and declining in energy sectors would influence CO2 emission per unit of GDP.
能源创新的公共开支与二氧化碳影响:来自部分经合组织国家的证据
本研究探讨了在能源创新(可再生能源和不可再生能源的研发以及能源效率)方面的公共支出与不变购买力下的二氧化碳强度之间的关系。在 10 个经合组织国家(1990-2020 年)中首次使用了面板-NARDL 模型,以评估能源创新变量与二氧化碳影响之间的长期和短期非对称关系。换句话说,这项研究旨在监测可再生和不可再生研发公共支出的变化如何影响二氧化碳排放。研究结果表明,虽然增加可再生能源研发公共预算会降低二氧化碳的长期强度,但在短期内,这些变量之间存在正相关关系。同样,结果表明,削减化石燃料研究与开发的公共开支会导致短期单位 GDP 二氧化碳排放量的增加和长期单位 GDP 二氧化碳排放量的减少。这一发现意味着,随着时间的推移,可再生能源和不可再生能源的研究与开发对减少二氧化碳排放具有重大影响。此外,单位 GDP 二氧化碳排放量与能效研发公共支出呈正相关。增加能效研究与开发的公共开支可以促进经济活动,增加二氧化碳排放量。总之,对选定的经合组织国家进行的 30 年数据分析证明,通过使用公共预算促进能源部门的研究与开发,是减少这些国家二氧化碳排放量的正确战略。这项研究结果与那些认为可再生能源研发与二氧化碳影响之间没有关系的研究结果形成了鲜明对比。意义说明 本文评估了在购买力不变的情况下,可再生能源和化石燃料研发以及能源效率方面的公共支出对二氧化碳强度的非对称影响。尽管越来越多的研究分析了研发对二氧化碳排放的影响,但有关能源行业研发公共支出对二氧化碳排放的非对称影响的研究仍然很少。此外,通过使用面板非线性 ARDL,我们深入研究了选定的经合组织公共预算在短期和长期内对 R&D 的溢出影响。此外,我们还估算了可再生和不可再生研发预算的影响,这有助于我们探索和比较研发预算分配与二氧化碳减排战略的有效性。最后,本研究还发现了能源行业研发和技术预算的增减对单位 GDP 二氧化碳排放量的影响。
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