Prevalence of clinical deterioration in the pre-hospital setting.

Abstract

Objective: Improved understanding of the deteriorating patient in the pre-hospital setting may result in earlier recognition and response. Considering the effects of undetected deterioration are profound, it is fundamental to report the prevalence of pre-hospital clinical deterioration to advance our understanding. The present study investigated the prevalence of pre-hospital clinical deterioration and adverse events (AEs) within 3 days of the pre-hospital episode of care.

Methods: This retrospective cohort study was based on pre-hospital incidents involving adult patients attended by Queensland Ambulance Service between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2020. Due to lacking a standardised definition of pre-hospital clinical deterioration, established early warning scores (NEWS, MEWS and Q-ADDS) were calculated from pre-hospital vital signs to identify clinical deterioration. Linked hospital data were used to identify the occurrence of an AE.

Results: Some degree of physiological derangement was initially observed in over half of the patients, and pre-hospital clinical deterioration was seen in 2.7%-4% of patients. The prevalence of AEs was 3.2%. Patients that experienced an AE were more likely to be male, elderly, suffering from a medical (non-trauma) condition, and had a greater burden of disease. Concerningly, almost 50% of patients that suffered an AE did not meet escalation thresholds of NEWS, MEWS or Q-ADDS.

Conclusions: The present study found the prevalence of pre-hospital clinical deterioration and AEs subsequent to pre-hospital episodes of care to be low. Future research should prioritise using standardised criteria to define pre-hospital clinical deterioration and evaluate the performance of early warning scores.