Crop Yield Prediction Using Multimodal Meta-Transformer and Temporal Graph Neural Networks

Somrita Sarkar;Anamika Dey;Ritam Pradhan;Upendra Mohan Sarkar;Chandranath Chatterjee;Arijit Mondal;Pabitra Mitra
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Abstract

Crop yield prediction is a crucial task in agricultural science, involving the classification of potential yield into various levels. This is vital for both farmers and policymakers. The features considered for this task are diverse, including weather, soil, and historical yield data. Recently, plant images captured in different modalities, such as red–green–blue, infrared, and multispectral bands, have also been utilized. Most of these data are inherently temporal. Integrating such multimodal and temporal data is advantageous for yield classification. In this work, a deep learning framework based on meta-transformers and temporal graph neural networks has been proposed to achieve this goal. Meta-Transformers allow the modeling of multimodal interactions, while temporayel graph neural networks enable the utilization of time sequences. Experimental results on the publicly available EPFL multimodal dataset demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves a high classification accuracy of nearly 97%, surpassing other state-of-the-art models, such as long short-term memory networks, 1-D convolutional neural networks, and Transformers. In addition, the proposed model excels in accuracy metrics, with a precision of approximately 98%, an F1-Score of 91%, and a recall of 94% in crop yield prediction.
利用多模态元变换器和时态图神经网络预测作物产量
作物产量预测是农业科学中的一项重要任务,涉及将潜在产量划分为不同等级。这对农民和决策者都至关重要。这项任务所考虑的特征多种多样,包括天气、土壤和历史产量数据。最近,以红绿蓝、红外和多光谱波段等不同模式拍摄的植物图像也得到了利用。这些数据大多具有时间性。整合这些多模态和时间数据有利于产量分类。为实现这一目标,本研究提出了一种基于元变换器和时序图神经网络的深度学习框架。元变换器可以建立多模态交互模型,而时序图神经网络可以利用时间序列。在公开的 EPFL 多模态数据集上的实验结果表明,所提出的框架达到了近 97% 的高分类准确率,超过了其他最先进的模型,如长短期记忆网络、一维卷积神经网络和 Transformers。此外,所提出的模型在准确度指标方面也表现出色,在作物产量预测方面,精确度约为 98%,F1 分数为 91%,召回率为 94%。
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