{"title":"Linking extent of return to fasting state after oral glucose tolerance test to future risk of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes: Insights from the TLGS","authors":"Soroush Masrouri, Seyed Saeed Tamehri Zadeh, Maryam Tohidi, Fereidoun Azizi, Farzad Hadaegh","doi":"10.1111/jdi.14308","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div>\n \n \n <section>\n \n <h3> Aims</h3>\n \n <p>To assess the risk of difference between 2 h post-load plasma glucose (2 h-PG) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) on incident prediabetes/type 2 diabetes (T2DM) among normoglycemic individuals.</p>\n </section>\n \n <section>\n \n <h3> Methods</h3>\n \n <p>Among 4,971 individuals aged ≥20 years, the associations of the difference between 2 h-PG and FPG with outcomes were examined using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analysis. Participants were categorized into three groups: a low post-load group (2 h-PG ≤ FPG, as the reference group); a high post-load group (2 h-PG > FPG and ≥75th percentile of the difference); and a medium post-load group (2 h-PG > FPG and <75th percentile of the difference), which was further categorized into three groups by equal ranges.</p>\n </section>\n \n <section>\n \n <h3> Results</h3>\n \n <p>Over a median of 11.5 years of follow-up, 2,331 new cases of prediabetes/type 2 diabetes and 360 cases of type 2 diabetes occurred. Greater risks of incident prediabetes/type 2 diabetes in second (9–16 mg/dL) and third (17–24 mg/dL) medium post-load, as well as high post-load (≥25 mg/dL) categories, were found, with hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.26 (1.11–1.44), 1.32 (1.15–1.51), and 1.69 (1.51–1.90), respectively; the issue was more prominent among women (<i>P</i> for interaction = 0.005). The risk of incident type 2 diabetes was also higher for these categories. After further adjustment for the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, result remained essentially unchanged. Even among individuals with low normal FPG (i.e., <90 mg/dL), ≥9 mg/dL difference between 2 h-PG and FPG increased the risk of composite prediabetes/ type 2 diabetes.</p>\n </section>\n \n <section>\n \n <h3> Conclusions</h3>\n \n <p>Greater levels of 2 h-PG as low as 9 mg/dL than FPG among normoglycemic individuals is a harbinger of prediabetes/type 2 diabetes development.</p>\n </section>\n </div>","PeriodicalId":51250,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Diabetes Investigation","volume":"15 12","pages":"1743-1752"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jdi.14308","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Diabetes Investigation","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jdi.14308","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Aims
To assess the risk of difference between 2 h post-load plasma glucose (2 h-PG) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) on incident prediabetes/type 2 diabetes (T2DM) among normoglycemic individuals.
Methods
Among 4,971 individuals aged ≥20 years, the associations of the difference between 2 h-PG and FPG with outcomes were examined using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analysis. Participants were categorized into three groups: a low post-load group (2 h-PG ≤ FPG, as the reference group); a high post-load group (2 h-PG > FPG and ≥75th percentile of the difference); and a medium post-load group (2 h-PG > FPG and <75th percentile of the difference), which was further categorized into three groups by equal ranges.
Results
Over a median of 11.5 years of follow-up, 2,331 new cases of prediabetes/type 2 diabetes and 360 cases of type 2 diabetes occurred. Greater risks of incident prediabetes/type 2 diabetes in second (9–16 mg/dL) and third (17–24 mg/dL) medium post-load, as well as high post-load (≥25 mg/dL) categories, were found, with hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.26 (1.11–1.44), 1.32 (1.15–1.51), and 1.69 (1.51–1.90), respectively; the issue was more prominent among women (P for interaction = 0.005). The risk of incident type 2 diabetes was also higher for these categories. After further adjustment for the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, result remained essentially unchanged. Even among individuals with low normal FPG (i.e., <90 mg/dL), ≥9 mg/dL difference between 2 h-PG and FPG increased the risk of composite prediabetes/ type 2 diabetes.
Conclusions
Greater levels of 2 h-PG as low as 9 mg/dL than FPG among normoglycemic individuals is a harbinger of prediabetes/type 2 diabetes development.
期刊介绍:
Journal of Diabetes Investigation is your core diabetes journal from Asia; the official journal of the Asian Association for the Study of Diabetes (AASD). The journal publishes original research, country reports, commentaries, reviews, mini-reviews, case reports, letters, as well as editorials and news. Embracing clinical and experimental research in diabetes and related areas, the Journal of Diabetes Investigation includes aspects of prevention, treatment, as well as molecular aspects and pathophysiology. Translational research focused on the exchange of ideas between clinicians and researchers is also welcome. Journal of Diabetes Investigation is indexed by Science Citation Index Expanded (SCIE).