Trends in Mortality Due to Stroke in South America between 1990 and 2019.

Alexandre Castelo Branco Araujo, Orivaldo Florencio de Souza, Filomena Euridice Carvalho de Alencar, Betina Bolina Kersanach, Victor Lopes Feitosa, Julia Silva Cesar Mozzer, Vinicius Andreata Brandão, Gabriel Marim Roni, Carlos Bandeira de Mello Monteiro, Luiz Carlos de Abreu
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Abstract

Stroke is the second leading cause of death and disability in Latin America; however, few epidemiological studies have been conducted in South America. An observational study was conducted to analyze trends in stroke mortality in South American (SA) countries. Age-standardized mortality rates and proportional mortality due to stroke in the populations of SA countries between 1990 and 2019 were assessed by extracting data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. Joinpoint regression models were employed to identify trends in the annual percentage change in mortality rates for each segment. Considering the data collected over the 30 years that were studied, the age-standardized stroke mortality trend decreased in Argentina (-1.6%), Uruguay (-0.6%), Brazil (-0.5%), Guyana (-0.5%), and Bolivia (-0.4%), while Venezuela (+1.6%) and Suriname (+1.0%) showed an increasing trend. The proportional stroke mortality trend decreased in Argentina (-1.7%), Paraguay (-0.9%), Uruguay (-0.7%), Guyana (-0.7%), Brazil (-0.5%), and Chile (-0.5%), whereas Bolivia (+1.0%), Suriname (+0.6%), and Peru (+0.4%) exhibited an increasing trend. The trends in stroke mortality between 1990 and 2019 demonstrated considerable variability. While most SA countries experienced significant decreases in stroke mortality trends, Venezuela and Suriname showed increases in age-standardized mortality rates, and Bolivia, Suriname, and Peru exhibited increases in proportional mortality rates. No decreasing stroke mortality trend was observed in the segment after the last joinpoint, highlighting the need for improvement in prevention and treatment.

1990 年至 2019 年南美洲中风死亡率趋势。
在拉丁美洲,中风是导致死亡和残疾的第二大原因;然而,在南美洲开展的流行病学研究却很少。我们开展了一项观察性研究,分析南美洲(SA)国家的中风死亡率趋势。通过从《2019 年全球疾病负担》研究中提取数据,评估了 1990 年至 2019 年期间南美国家人口的年龄标准化死亡率和中风致死比例。采用连接点回归模型来确定各部分死亡率的年度百分比变化趋势。考虑到所研究的 30 年间收集的数据,阿根廷(-1.6%)、乌拉圭(-0.6%)、巴西(-0.5%)、圭亚那(-0.5%)和玻利维亚(-0.4%)的年龄标准化中风死亡率呈下降趋势,而委内瑞拉(+1.6%)和苏里南(+1.0%)则呈上升趋势。阿根廷(-1.7%)、巴拉圭(-0.9%)、乌拉圭(-0.7%)、圭亚那(-0.7%)、巴西(-0.5%)和智利(-0.5%)的中风死亡率比例呈下降趋势,而玻利维亚(+1.0%)、苏里南(+0.6%)和秘鲁(+0.4%)则呈上升趋势。1990 年至 2019 年期间中风死亡率的趋势变化很大。虽然大多数南澳大利亚国家的中风死亡率呈显著下降趋势,但委内瑞拉和苏里南的年龄标准化死亡率有所上升,玻利维亚、苏里南和秘鲁的比例死亡率有所上升。在最后一个连接点之后的区段,没有观察到中风死亡率下降的趋势,这凸显了改善预防和治疗的必要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
3.60
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