Covidization and decovidization of the scientific literature and scientific workforce

John Ioannidis, Thomas A. Collins, Eran Bendavid, Jeroen Baas
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Abstract

We examined the growth trajectory and impact of COVID-19-related papers in the scientific literature until August 1, 2024 and how the scientific workforce was engaged in this work. Scopus indexed 718,660 COVID-19-related publications. As proportion of all indexed scientific publications, COVID-19-related publications peaked in September 2021 (4.7%) remained at 4.3-4.6% for another year and then gradually declined, but was still 1.9% in July 2024). COVID-19-related publications included 1,978,612 unique authors: 1,127,215 authors had ≥5 full papers in their career and 53,418 authors were in the top-2% of their scientific subfield based on a career-long composite citation indicator. Authors with >10%, >30% and >50% of their total career citations be to COVID-19-related publications were 376,942, 201,702, and 125,523, respectively. As of August 1, 2024, 65 of the top-100 most-cited papers published in 2020 were COVID-19-related, declining to 24/100, 19/100, 7/100, and 5/100 for the most-cited papers published in 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively. Across 174 scientific subfields, 132 had ≥10% of their active influential (top-2% by composite citation indicator) authors publish something on COVID-19 during 2020-2024. Among the 300 authors with highest composite citation indicator specifically for their COVID-19-related publications, 41 were editors or journalists/columnists and another 23 had most of their COVID-19 citations to published items other than full papers (opinion pieces/letters/notes). COVID-19 massively engaged the scientific workforce in unprecedented ways. As the pandemic ended, there has been a sharp decline in the overall volume and high impact of newly published COVID-19-related publications.
科学文献和科学工作者队伍的非同源化和去同源化
我们研究了 2024 年 8 月 1 日之前科学文献中 COVID-19 相关论文的增长轨迹和影响,以及科学工作者是如何参与这项工作的。Scopus收录了718,660篇COVID-19相关论文。COVID-19相关论文在所有被收录的科学文献中所占比例在2021年9月达到顶峰(4.7%),随后一年保持在4.3-4.6%之间,然后逐渐下降,但到2024年7月仍为1.9%。)与 COVID-19 相关的出版物包括 1,978,612 位独立作者:1,127,215位作者在其职业生涯中发表了≥5篇完整论文,53,418位作者根据其职业生涯的综合引用指标在其科学子领域中排名前2%。在其职业生涯中,与 COVID-19 相关的论文引用次数占其总引用次数 10%、30% 和 50%的作者分别为 376,942 人、201,702 人和 125,523 人。截至2024年8月1日,在2020年发表的论文中,被引用次数最多的前100篇论文中有65篇与COVID-19有关,而在2021年、2022年、2023年和2024年发表的论文中,被引用次数最多的前100篇论文中分别有24篇、19篇、7篇和5篇与COVID-19有关。在 174 个科学子领域中,有 132 个领域在 2020-2024 年期间有≥10% 的有影响力(按综合引文指标排名前 2%)的作者发表了有关 COVID-19 的论文。在300位因发表与COVID-19相关的论文而获得最高综合引用指标的作者中,有41位是编辑或记者/专栏作家,另有23位作者的大部分COVID-19引用都是发表在论文全文以外的项目上(观点文章/通讯/注释)。COVID-19 以前所未有的方式吸引了大量科学工作者的参与。随着大流行病的结束,新发表的 COVID-19 相关出版物的总量和影响力急剧下降。
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