A two-way coupled high resolution wave hindcast for the South China Sea

Tiziano Bagnasco, Alessandro Stocchino, Michalis I. Vousdoukas, Jinghua Wang
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Abstract

In the present study, we performed a 53-year wave hindcast (1970-2022) for a significant portion of the South China Sea (SCS) with an unstructured mesh that reaches considerably high resolution along the coasts of the Guangdong province (China). The adopted modeling approach is based on the fully two-way coupled SCHISM-WWMIII numerical suite. The model was forced with ERA5 wind velocities that were compared to IFREMER altimeter wind velocities and then bias-corrected for a more accurate treatment of the wind component. Eight major tidal harmonics extracted from FES2014 were imposed to the open boundaries. After a preliminary mesh independence analysis, the model results have been validated against satellite altimeter observations retrieved from the European Space Agency database spanning the period from 1992 to 2019. Moreover, 28 year in-situ measurements from two coastal wave buoys and data from four tidal gauge stations (approximately 20 years) were used to test the nearshore skills of the model. Several statistical indicators have been used to evaluate the offshore and nearshore performance of the model results in terms of the main wave parameters (significant wave height, peak wave period, mean wave direction) and water levels. All statistical metrics suggest that the present hindcast improved the predictions of waves and water levels compared to previous datasets, especially in the coastal regions. The high spatial resolution together with a full coupling allowed the model to capture and simulate processes that are induced by the non-linear interactions between waves and currents, especially nearshore.
南海双向耦合高分辨率波浪后报
在本研究中,我们使用非结构化网格对中国广东省沿岸进行了 53 年(1970-2022 年)的波浪后报,网格分辨率相当高。采用的建模方法是基于完全双向耦合的 SCHISM-WWMIII 数值套件。模式采用ERA5风速,并与IFREMER测高仪风速进行比较,然后进行偏差校正,以更准确地处理风的分量。从 FES2014 中提取的八个主要潮汐谐波被施加到开放边界上。在进行了初步的网格独立性分析后,模型结果与欧洲航天局数据库中的卫星测高仪观测结果进行了验证,时间跨度为 1992 年至 2019 年。此外,还使用了两个沿海波浪浮标 28 年的现场测量数据和四个潮汐测量站的数据(约 20 年)来检验模型的近岸技能。在主要波参数(显著波高、峰值波周期、平均波向)和水位方面,采用了一些统计指标来评价模式结果的近岸和近海性能。所有统计指标都表明,与以前的数据集相比,本次后报改进了对波浪和水位的预测,特别是在沿岸地区。高空间分辨率和全耦合使模式能够捕捉和模拟波浪与海流之间非线性相互作用所引起的过程,特别是近岸过程。
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