Transparency and forecasting: the impact of conditioning assumptions on forecast accuracy

IF 1.2 4区经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS

Applied Economics Letters Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI:10.1080/13504851.2024.2388870

Katja Heinisch, Christoph Schult, Carola Stapper

引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of inaccurate assumptions on economic forecast precision. We construct a new dataset comprising an unbalanced panel of annual German GDP forecasts from various in...

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透明度与预测：条件假设对预测准确性的影响

本研究探讨了不准确的假设对经济预测精度的影响。我们构建了一个新的数据集，该数据集由一个非平衡面板组成，其中包含来自不同国家的德国年度 GDP 预测。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Applied Economics Letters ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.90

自引率

6.20%

发文量

460

期刊介绍： Applied Economics Letters is a companion journal to Applied Economics and Applied Financial Economics. It publishes short accounts of new original research and encourages discussion of papers previously published in its two companion journals. Letters are reviewed by the Editor, a member of the Editorial Board or another suitable authority. They are generally applied in nature, but may include discussion of method and theoretical formulation. In a change to the format of the Applied Financial Series of journals, from 2009 Applied Financial Economics Letters will be incorporated into its sister journal Applied Economics Letters.