{"title":"In the shadow of country risk: asset pricing model of emerging market corporate bonds","authors":"Desislava Vladimirova","doi":"10.1057/s41260-024-00370-3","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We examine the covariances of corporate bonds in emerging markets (EM) and present an asset pricing framework using instrumented principal component analysis (IPCA) that includes characteristics at the sovereign and bond levels. Our results indicate that EM bond returns are significantly influenced by country-specific risks. Incorporating these characteristics can improve both the total and cross-sectional model fit. We demonstrate that a factor framework tailored to the nuances of the EM universe generates a significant alpha of 2% per annum against the market and a higher information ratio than alternative asset pricing models, such as a conditional beta model designed for developed market (DM) bonds.</p>","PeriodicalId":45953,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asset Management","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Asset Management","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1057/s41260-024-00370-3","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We examine the covariances of corporate bonds in emerging markets (EM) and present an asset pricing framework using instrumented principal component analysis (IPCA) that includes characteristics at the sovereign and bond levels. Our results indicate that EM bond returns are significantly influenced by country-specific risks. Incorporating these characteristics can improve both the total and cross-sectional model fit. We demonstrate that a factor framework tailored to the nuances of the EM universe generates a significant alpha of 2% per annum against the market and a higher information ratio than alternative asset pricing models, such as a conditional beta model designed for developed market (DM) bonds.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of Asset Management covers:new investment strategies, methodologies and techniquesnew products and trading developmentsimportant regulatory and legal developmentsemerging trends in asset managementUnder the guidance of its expert Editors and an eminent international Editorial Board, Journal of Asset Management has developed to provide an international forum for latest thinking, techniques and developments for the Fund Management Industry, from high-growth investment strategies to modelling and managing risk, from active management to index tracking. The Journal has established itself as a key bridge between applied academic research, commercial best practice and regulatory interests, globally.Each issue of Journal of Asset Management publishes detailed, authoritative briefings, analysis, research and reviews by leading experts in the field, to keep subscribers up to date with the latest developments and thinking in asset management.Journal of Asset Management covers:asset allocation hedge fund strategies risk definition and management index tracking performance measurement stock selection investment methodologies and techniques portfolio management and weighting product development and innovation active asset management style analysis strategies to match client profiles time horizons emerging markets alternative investments derivatives and hedging instruments pensions economics
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