Flood Modeling of the June 2023 Flooding of Léogâne City by the Overflow of the Rouyonne River in Haiti

Abstract

Evaluating flood risk though numerical simulations in areas where hydrometric and bathymetric data are scarcely available is a challenge. This is, however, of paramount importance, particularly in urban areas, where huge losses of human life and extensive damage can occur. This paper focuses on the 2–3 June 2023 event at Léogâne in Haiti, where the Rouyonne River partly flooded the city. Water depths in the river have been recorded since April 2022, and a few discharges were measured manually, but these were not sufficient to produce a reliable rating curve. Using a uniform-flow assumption combined with the Bayesian rating curve (BaRatin) method, it was possible to extrapolate the existing data to higher discharges. From there, a rainfall–runoff relation was developed for the site using a distributed hydrological model, which allowed the discharge of the June 2023 event to be determined, which was estimated as twice the maximum conveying capacity of the river in the measurement section. Bathymetric data were obtained using drone-based photogrammetry, and two-dimensional simulations were carried out to represent the flooded area and the associated water depths. By comparing the water depths of 21 measured high-water marks with the simulation results, we obtained a Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE) and Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) values of 0.890 and 0.882, respectively. This allows us to conclude that even when only scarce official data are available, it is possible to use field data acquired by low-cost methodologies to build a model that is sufficiently accurate and that can be used by flood managers and decision makers to assess flood risk and vulnerability in Haiti.