Attention-based multilayer GRU decoder for on-site glucose prediction on smartphone

Ömer Atılım Koca, Halime Özge Kabak, Volkan Kılıç
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Abstract

Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) devices provide a considerable amount of data that can be used to predict future values, enabling sustainable control of blood glucose levels to prevent hypo-/hyperglycemic events and associated complications. However, it is a challenging task in diabetes management as the data from CGM are sequential, time-varying, nonlinear, and non-stationary. Due to their ability to deal with these types of data, artificial intelligence (AI)-based methods have emerged as a useful tool. The traditional approach is to implement AI methods in baseline form, which results in exploiting less sequential information from the data, thus reducing the prediction accuracy. To address this issue, we propose a novel glucose prediction approach within the encoder–decoder framework, aimed at improving prediction accuracy despite the complex and non-stationary nature of CGM data. Sequential information is extracted using a convolutional neural network-based encoder, while predictions are generated by a gated recurrent unit (GRU)-based decoder. In our approach, the decoder is designed with the multilayer GRU attached to an attention layer to ensure the modulation of the most relevant information so that it leads to a more accurate prediction. The proposed attention-based multilayer GRU approach has been extensively evaluated on the OhioT1DM dataset, and experimental results demonstrate the advantage of our proposed approach over the state-of-the-art approaches. Furthermore, the proposed approach is also integrated with our custom-designed Android application called “GlucoWizard” to perform glucose prediction for diabetes.

Abstract Image

基于注意力的多层 GRU 解码器,用于智能手机上的现场葡萄糖预测
连续血糖监测(CGM)设备提供了大量数据,可用于预测未来值,从而实现对血糖水平的可持续控制,防止低血糖/高血糖事件和相关并发症的发生。然而,由于 CGM 的数据是连续的、时变的、非线性的和非稳态的,因此在糖尿病管理中这是一项具有挑战性的任务。基于人工智能(AI)的方法能够处理这些类型的数据,因此成为一种有用的工具。传统的方法是以基线形式实施人工智能方法,这导致从数据中利用的连续信息较少,从而降低了预测准确性。为解决这一问题,我们在编码器-解码器框架内提出了一种新的葡萄糖预测方法,旨在提高预测准确性,尽管 CGM 数据具有复杂性和非平稳性。使用基于卷积神经网络的编码器提取序列信息,而预测则由基于门控递归单元(GRU)的解码器生成。在我们的方法中,解码器的设计是将多层 GRU 连接到注意力层,以确保调制最相关的信息,从而实现更准确的预测。我们提出的基于注意力的多层 GRU 方法已在 OhioT1DM 数据集上进行了广泛评估,实验结果表明我们提出的方法比最先进的方法更具优势。此外,提出的方法还与我们定制设计的安卓应用程序 "GlucoWizard "相结合,用于进行糖尿病血糖预测。
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